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Kyrie Irving of the Dallas Mavericks features in our Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks.
Kyrie Irving of the Dallas Mavericks dribbles the ball at Arena in Los Angeles, California. Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images via AFP.

After a pair of losses to the Memphis Grizzlies last week, can the Dallas Mavericks turn things around against their Western Conference rivals? Check out our Mavericks-Grizzlies picks based on the top NBA odds.

Following a brutal week filled with injuries and losses, the Mavericks are getting back on track. With Kyrie Irving back in action, the team has won two straight. Luka Doncic missed both matchups with the Grizzlies last week, and Dillon Brooks had some strong words for him.

Doncic has been ruled out for Monday's game. The Grizzlies have won five of their last six, and the team hasn’t missed a beat despite missing Ja Morant.

Who will prevail in this epic clash of Western Conference contenders?

Here is our best Mavericks vs. Grizzlies NBA pick (odds via Caesars; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies pick

Mavericks ML (+118 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Memphis has been rolling as of late, and it's been doing it without its best player. The team has one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA, but the Mavericks will steal a rare win at FedEx Forum on Monday.

The Grizzlies have won five of six, but let’s take a look at the quality of those wins. Two came against the Golden State Warriors (arguably the worst road team in the Association), two came against the shorthanded Mavericks, and one came against arguably the worst team in the NBA in the San Antonio Spurs.

Dallas is the healthiest it's been in quite some time, with Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Maxi Kleber available after dealing with injuries for weeks. With Dallas near full strength, the Grizzlies’ hot streak will come to an end as it finally faces a challenge. We’re taking the Mavericks’ moneyline here.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies best odds

Caesars (+118)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
Mavericks ML Mavericks ML Mavericks ML Mavericks ML Mavericks ML
+110 +110 +110 +118 +110

The odds are the same across four of our five featured books, but Caesars gives us slightly longer odds and a more profitable wager. That’s where we’ll place our bet for this one.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds

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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds analysis

The line opened at Grizzlies -0.5, essentially making it a pick'em, but the line has moved a point in favor of the home team. Bettors overwhelmingly favor the Grizzlies to cover, with 70% of wagers placed on that outcome. The Grizzlies are 17-12-1 against the spread as home favorites, and the team has covered in three of the last six. The Mavs are 10-9 as road dogs, and Dallas has covered in three of its last four.

The point total has moved up just a point from its 228.5 opener, and bettors have placed 55% of wagers on the Over. Grizzlies games have hit the Over in three straight and four of the last six, but the team is just 16-27-1 to the Over on the season. The Mavs have gone 1-4-1 to the Over in their last six and 10-9 as road dogs this season.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies game info

Date: Monday, March 20, 8 p.m. ET
Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN

Mavericks-Grizzlies pick made 03/20/2023 at 11:15 a.m. ET.

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