Marquee NBA Picks: Clippers To Find Success On The Road vs. Cavaliers

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, January 21, 2016 5:07 PM GMT

The Clippers invade Cleveland after reeling off 11 wins in 12 opportunities while the Cavaliers are hot off the heels of a victory in Brooklyn. Let’s review the NBA odds and cash a ticket.

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NBA Pick: Clippers +6
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Los Angeles Clippers (27-14 SU, 19-19-3 ATS)
The Clippers had won 10 consecutive games and covered the NBA odds in all but one before they hosted the Kings as 3 ½ point home chalk on Saturday night. The outcome was not kind to both the Clips and those who backed them in their NBA picks when Los Angeles fell 110-103. But the dust had barely settled on their first loss since December 21st when the Western Conference power hosted the Rockets and notched a 140-132 overtime victory as six-point favorites.

J.J. Reddick bucketed a career-high 40 points in the Clippers’ last outing on Monday night against Houston. It was a scoreboard turner to be sure as LA turned loose the long range snipers leading to a franchise best 22 three-pointers with Reddick nailing 9-of-12 from beyond the arc. The nine-year veteran set a single-season franchise record for three-pointers last season when he connected on 200 and has 103 already this season. Offense has been the key to the Clippers success this season scoring an average of 104.8 PPG (ranked 4th) and more impressively the team has even thrived since resident superstar and leading scorer Blake Griffin went down with a quad injury after their win over the Lakers on Christmas Day. Defensively the Clips rank 16th in points allowed holding opponents to 101 points per game.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers (29-11 SU, 18-21-1 ATS)
After rolling to eight consecutive victories the Cavs have alternated losses and wins over their last four games with the most recent outing proving to be a 91-78 dismantling of the Nets in Brooklyn last night. It was a solid win when considering their 132-98 beatdown at the hands of the Golden State Warriors just two days prior in front of their home crowd. Kevin Love contributed mightily to the Cavaliers’ resurrection with 17 points and a whopping 18 defensive rebounds. Because of Love the Nets got only a dearth of second chances and coupled with a suffocating defense held Brooklyn to a mere 78 points. LeBron James and Kevin Love never returned after the third quarter with the Cavs holding a 73-55 advantage.

Despite the fact that Cleveland has one of the greatest offensive forces at their disposal in LeBron James they rank just 17th in the league in scoring averaging 101.1 points per game. But it is their defense that has held their opposition in check as they allow only 95.6 points per game which ranks them 2nd trailing only San Antonio. LeBron leads the team in scoring with an average of 25.1 PPG while teammate Kevin Love leads the Cavs in rebounding with 10.9 boards per contest.

 

Betting Analysis
The last time the Clippers took the floor at the Quicken Loans Arena they were dominated by the Cavaliers 105-94 in February of last season. Yet Los Angeles is 4-0 against the number in their last four games against a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS over the course of their last five road games. On the flipside Cleveland is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against a team with a winning record but a mere 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on the second half of back-to-back games.

The betting trends don’t bode well for the visitors as they are just 1-8 ATS over their last nine when playing in Cleveland. In addition the Cavs are very tough to beat at home with a 15-2 straight up mark yet only 8-9 ATS. While I would normally be backing Cleveland in this one I believe their lack of success in the second leg of back-to-back games particularly against a formidable foe such as LA might be too much particularly when saddled with a six-point impost.