Make Clippers your Game 4 NBA Pick Over a Very Inconsistent Rockets Team

David Lawrence

Saturday, May 9, 2015 2:28 PM GMT

The Clippers ran away and hid in Game 3 of their West Conference semifinal series against the Rockets. What needs to happen for Los Angeles to cash on the NBA odds & take full control of this series?

The Houston Rockets Can Win Because…
They played horribly and lost big in Game 1, and bounced back. Therefore, after playing horribly and losing by an even bigger margin in Game 3, Houston is going to be angry and focused. A team that is very inconsistent and can sometimes lose sight of what it needs to do is also the kind of team that can respond to adversity and really focus when it feels it has to. The Rockets made adjustments on Blake Griffin in Game 2 of this series, and if there’s one thing they’ve continued to do well against the Clippers, it’s that they’ve pressured Griffin into making lots of turnovers. Griffin has committed 15 turnovers in this series, seven in Game 3. That’s going to catch up with the Clippers and kill them if they’re not careful. Houston can do some damage if it continues to create turnovers. Los Angeles committed almost 20 in Game 3 on Friday night.

The other big reason the Rockets can win Game 4 is that the Clippers got some statistically aberrational games from bench players. Austin Rivers hit 10 of 13 shots in Game 3. That’s not very likely to happen again in Game 4 or at any future point in this series. Rivers scored 25 points in Game 3. If he scores just 10 points in Game 4, that’s going to shift the balance of the scoring in the Rockets’ direction.

One more performance that is not likely to be repeated is J.J. Redick going 11 of 14 for the Clippers. He’s a great pure shooter, but 11 of 14 is still just not the kind of effort which gets reproduced. Los Angeles is due for a regression, and that’s how Houston can win here. 

 

The Los Angeles Clippers Can Win Because…
They are the better team and NBA betting odds board shows it too, making them a big home favorites for Game 4. Clippers didn’t even need Chris Paul to put away the Rockets on Friday in Game 3. Los Angeles did not have Paul on the floor for most of the 24-0 run which buried Houston late in the third quarter and early in the fourth quarter on Friday. Rivers and Redick were the ones who crushed the Rockets. The Clippers know that they can actually play even better than they did on Friday. That’s a scary prospect for Houston. If Blake Griffin commits fewer turnovers and Chris Paul is able to play more minutes with his delicate hamstring, the Clippers – who won by 25 points on Friday – should still have enough left to be able to beat Houston by eight or nine points. Los Angeles has set so high a standard on offense – shooting 55.4 percent in Game 3 with 13 of 29 three-pointers and 19 of 23 free throws – that it’s going to be hard for Houston to find the right answers on defense.

 

Outlook
In Game 3, the Clippers routed Houston without Chris Paul doing a whole lot. Just a little more from Paul and fewer turnovers from Blake Griffin, should give Los Angeles a 3-1 lead in this series. Houston has no answers at the defensive end they aren’t doing enough at the offensive end, scoring just 100 points per game in their two losses. Take the Clippers with your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Clippers at GTBets

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