Major Betting Edge in Placing NBA Picks on Home Team

Tuesday, September 30, 2014 5:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 30, 2014 5:38 PM UTC

Before making your sports picks, understand that home-court advantage is more important in the NBA than any other major North American sport. Teams win at around 60%.

<p style="text-align:center;"> <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left;"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></span></p> <p><strong>No Team with a Losing Home Record Made the Playoffs</strong><br /> Taking a quick look back to last season, the first thing you notice is that no team with a losing home record made the playoffs. In <a href="" target="_blank" title="Prized picks for Western Conference 2015-15">the entire Western Conference</a>, only three teams had a losing home record. In the East, that number was seven.</p> <p>Not having a winning road record was not a telling sign in regards to the playoffs. The Indiana Pacers were the top seed in <a href="" target="_blank" title="Here's our prediction for the Eastern Conference winners this upcoming season">the Eastern Conference</a> and were just 21-20 on the road. The Miami Heat were second in the East and were just 22-19 on the road. As a matter of fact, no team in the East had a better road record than that number and only three teams in the NBA surpassed that. So having a bad road record is normal. Having a bad home record diminishes your chances of doing anything significant.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>There Were Only 10 Teams with a Losing Home Record</strong><br /> Exacerbating the previous point, there were only 10 teams in total that finished with a losing home record. Even teams like the New Orleans Pelicans and the Denver Nuggets, who both finished 10 games under .500 or more, still had winning records at home.</p> <p>That’s another indication of how valuable it is playing in front of your home audience.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>You have to Look at the Winning Percentages</strong><br /> As mentioned, there were only 10 teams with a losing home record last season. Comparing that to <a href="" target="_blank" title="NHL Picks ">the NHL</a>, there were only 12 NHL clubs that failed to do the same. On the surface, it might seem competitive but that’s far from the case. Look at the high end: the top three teams in the NBA had a home winning percentage of 83% or higher. In the NHL, the top three teams averaged out at 73%. That’s a 10% drop-off.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Harder to Win on the Road in the Postseason</strong><br /> As evidenced by all of this talk of home-court advantage, it’s pretty clear that winning on the road is tough. It becomes even harder in the playoffs. From 1998-2008, home teams won 7021 games while losing 4569 in the regular season (60.6%). In the postseason, they won 513 and lost 278 (64.8%). That’s about the average but the best home winning percentage in the playoffs over the last 19 years was at 74.4%.</p> <p>What this means is if you’re looking at futures – especially come playoff time – you want to be giving a strong valuation to the teams who have the home-court advantage. As far as betting on a nightly basis, it’s pretty clear that you want to be thinking about where the game is played first and foremost before you place your <a href="" target="_blank" title="NBA Picks">NBA picks</a>.</p>
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