Lower Total Prompts Trendy Pick for Timberwolves-Bucks

Bucks Giannis

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, December 28, 2017 4:48 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 28, 2017 4:48 PM GMT

The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a nice overtime win against division rival Denver, and Thursday they have a quick turnaround against the Milwaukee Bucks.

NBA Thursday: Timberwolves vs. Bucks

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Free NBA Pick: Over 213Best Line Offered: Bovada

With Jeff Teague likely out for this game, the Wolves must turn to Tyus Jones and Jamal Crawford as their main ball handlers. While I expect Jimmy Butler to spend some time with the ball as well, Teague's absence hurts the Wolves’ defense as much as their offense.

That’s going to play tonight in Milwaukee, especially with the Wolves coming off a back-to-back. Minnesota’s defense is already not great, and coming off the back-to-back, they are going to give up a ton of points against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.

The Bucks are averaging 110 points per game over their last five, while giving up more than 112 during that stretch. The Wolves aren’t much better in their last five games, allowing 109 points while scoring an average of nearly 117.

That has led to a lot of overs cashing. We cashed the over on the Wolves on Wednesday night, and we didn’t even need overtime. The Wolves have cashed the over in seven of their last eight games, while the Bucks are on a 12-0-1 streak of cashing the over.

With a total of 213, and with the Bucks and Wolves combining to cash the over at 42-24-1 this season, I like our chances with a lower total tonight.

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