We Beat The Book On Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, and now we have another two NBA Picks for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday night.
Kevin Love O/U 30 points and rebounds
Our first prop of the night is courtesy of Bovada, who has Kevin Love at an even 30 for points and rebounds on the NBA odds against the Raptors. While Bismack Biyombo has been filling in nicely for the injured Jonas Valanciunas, he does not take up the same amount of space that the Raptors starting center does. While Biyombo is an excellent rebounder in his own right, no matter who has been at center for the Raptors when they played the Cavs, Love has been a force on the glass, and on offense.
In the regular season, Love averaged 18 points and 10 rebounds per game against the Raptors, and one of those games was a blowout by the Cavs where Love didn’t play the whole game. Against Atlanta, who is a poor interior team defensively, Love had a huge series averaging 19 points and 13 rebounds, and I expect something similar from him in this series.
Although the Cavs will go small some and have Love at center, to start the game Patrick Patterson will guard him, which is a huge mismatch. Even when the Cavs go small, Love will be able to shoot outside shots against Biyombo, or even take him off the dribble. The formula is there for Love to cash the over for this prop as long as he is grabbing double digit rebounds and hitting his three-pointers. He is already grabbing 13 rebounds per game for the playoffs, so as long as he is at or above 20 points, this one should cash the over with some nice cushion.
My Pick: Over 30 -115
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Kyle Lowry O/U 33.5 points, rebounds and assists
Probably one of the softest lines I’ve seen all playoffs outside of Draymond Green’s free throw total last night is Kyle Lowry’s total for points rebounds and assists for Game 1. If the sportsbooks haven’t noticed, Lowry seems to be over his slump from the beginning of the playoffs. He has dropped at least 35 points in his last two games alone, and after posting an Effective Field Goal Percentage of 37.5 percent through his first 12 playoff games, in his last two his eFG% is a scorching 57.4 percent.
Now he heads into a series where he doesn’t have to worry about the pesky defense of Goran Dragic. In fact, he gets to brutalize the non-existent defense of Kyrie Irving, which is exactly what he did during the regular season.
Lowry averaged 31 points, 8.3 assists and four rebounds per game against the Cavs this season, and while Cleveland is a solid defensive team, their fast paced and three-point oriented attack over the last series might carry over into the Conference Finals. If this is the case, Lowry is going to have plenty of extra opportunities to score and dish out some helpers to his teammates.
Considering Lowry has averaged over 10 rebounds and assists per game in the playoffs, I fully expect the over to be a solid play here. Take the over and add it to your NBA picks.
My Pick: Over 33.5 -115
Best Line Offered: at Heritage