Look at Warriors Winning their 12th Victory With Your NBA Picks Over Struggling Mavericks

David Lawrence

Saturday, April 4, 2015 1:44 PM GMT

Saturday, Apr. 4, 2015 1:44 PM GMT

The Warriors just can’t seem to lose, even when they play a shaky-enough game that puts them at risk of slipping. The Mavericks just absorbed a discouraging defeat. How will these teams, in very different positions, react on Saturday night when they play each other?

The Golden State Warriors Can Win Because…
They are so consistently able to win, even on nights when they’re just not that good, which is probably why they're betting favorites on the NBA odds. Golden State’s defense got chewed up on Wednesday night by the Phoenix Suns, a team that has lost Goran Dragic and is simply not as threatening as it was before the NBA trade deadline in February. The Suns were not supposed to closely threaten the Warriors in Oakland, but after scoring 62 points in the second half, Phoenix took a late lead and had Golden State on the ropes. However, Harrison Barnes rescued the Warriors after making two defensive blunders earlier in the final few possessions of the fourth quarter. He hit a runner just before the buzzer to give Golden State a 107-106 victory. The so-so performance will be picked apart by some critics, but the bigger thing to emphasize is that Golden State did not play well yet still won. This is how a team gets to be 62-13, well on its way to winning more than 65 games in a season, which is not just really good, but excellent.

The other main reason Golden State can win is that Dallas is just not playing good defense, especially not in the fourth quarters of games. The Mavericks have allowed at least 30 points in each of their last two fourth quarters, against Oklahoma City and then Houston on Thursday. Dallas beat Oklahoma City, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Mavericks’ defensive efficiency has plummeted in the fourth quarter of recent games. What hurt the Mavs against Houston was that their offense stalled, scoring only 18 points in the fourth quarter while the Rockets scored 31. Dallas turned a six-point lead into a seven-point loss. Golden State should be able to pounce on a vulnerable team such as this one.

Cash in with this trio of NBA underdogs tonight!

The Dallas Mavericks Can Win Because…
They are going up against a great team, but a team that is mentally tired. Athletes need breaks, and competitors need to be able to rest their minds for awhile. Golden State, having won 10 games in a row, should have been able to beat the Phoenix Suns at home on Thursday by a large margin. Instead, Golden State’s defense got progressively worse as the game moved along. The Warriors allowed only 44 points in the first half, 22 in each quarter, but then gave up 27 points in the third quarter and 35 in the fourth. That’s a team which is laboring under the strain of carrying a long winning streak. Phoenix hit 37 of 71 two-point shots, well over 50 percent. The Suns got strong performances from Markieff Morris and Brandan Wright in their frontcourt. Golden State center Andrew Bogut was not as effective as he had been in previous weeks. He pulled down only nine rebounds and was not disruptive enough in the paint. Golden State’s offense also seemed passive – the Warriors attempted only 17 free throws while Phoenix shot 26. The Suns were the aggressors, and that’s something Dallas – with Monta Ellis – can definitely exploit. The Mavericks can take the ball to the hoop and see if Golden State can avoid fouling. This could get the Warriors into great difficulties.

Here's another capper's take on this matchup

Outlook
The Warriors have the 11-game winning streak, but they are going to lose at some point but this doesn’t look like the place it’ll happen. The Mavs are struggling, have a few players who aren’t at 100% and are likely to be without Chandler Parsons. Beyond that, they don’t play well against winning teams. Take the Warriors with your NBA picks here.

NBA Pick: Warriors -3.5 at BetOnline

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