Look to the Total for Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Picks

Jeff Grant

Friday, January 10, 2014 1:45 PM GMT

The Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors both like to get up and down the court, which will lead to plenty of scoring opportunities Friday night. Does this give us the green light to back the 'Over' with our NBA picks, or does the real value lie elsewhere?

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for this non-conference matchup at Oracle Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET.

[gameodds]5/252493/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Continuing its losing ways

Boston has dropped six games in a row, including a 111-105 defeat to the Los Angeles Clippers as 10.5-point road underdogs Wednesday, while going OVER the betting total for a third consecutive affair.

The Celtics are allowing an average of 119.7 points through the first three games of their current five-game road trip versus Western Conference opponents.

NBA handicappers will find that the Celtics are 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS as road underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.

Returning home

Golden State came within a single victory of finishing the first unbeaten road trip of seven or more games in league history, as it squandered a huge first-quarter lead in suffering a 102-98 setback to the Brooklyn Nets as six-point favorites Wednesday.

The Warriors are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games following a road trip of seven or more days, with the OVER cashing in the last six opportunities in that situation.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is 11-4 SU at this venue, including a perfect 2-0 mark versus Eastern Conference foes.

Trouble in the opening half 

The Celtics are going to be difficult to back when looking over the NBA betting lines, considering they’ve allowed an average of 64.3 points in the first half over their last three games. 

Friday night’s opponent is outscoring foes by a 53.0-to-46.7 margin in the opening 24 minutes of games at this venue during the 2013-14 campaign.

A long break ahead 

The Warriors are a legitimate NBA title contender when they play with great intensity on defense, but I’m not expecting a huge performance on that side of the floor in this spot, considering they’ll have four days off afterwards. 

Golden State is 2-2 SUATS at home with a betting total of 200 to 204.5 this season, with the OVER cashing in all four opportunities.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers look ot the total with their NBA picks, as the OVER is 7-3 in the Warriors’ last 10 games versus non-conference foes. 

NBA Pick:  Over 202.5