Let Milwaukee Make You Big Bucks Tonight in Cleveland

bucks cavaliers

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 19, 2018 11:06 AM UTC

Monday, Mar. 19, 2018 11:06 AM UTC

The Bucks have won three of their last four as they dribble into Cleveland to take on the Cavaliers, returning home after a middling six-game road swing. Let’s take a look at the NBA odds on this matchup and analyze what could be a first-round playoff preview.

Bucks (37-32 SU, 28-36-5 ATS) at Cavaliers (40-29 SU, 22-46-1 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Bucks +3Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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  • Cleveland is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days.
  • Cleveland is 4-23 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
  • Milwaukee is 8-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more.

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Wheels down in The Land.#FearTheDeer l pic.twitter.com/ZJQtsU1bX8

— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 19, 2018
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Milwaukee has won three of their last four, but those who have been blindly backing them in their NBA picks will tell you that the Bucks have failed to cover the number in five of their last six and nine of their last 11s. In the team’s last outing against the lowly Atlanta Hawks, Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who scored 33 points and grabbed 12 rebounds en route to a 122-117 victory but failed to cover the 10½-point impost. It was win in the standings but a loss at the windows.

The Cavaliers went 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread over the course of their six-game road trip. Cleveland wrapped their 10-day sojourn with a 114-109 win over the Bulls on Saturday but once again failed those who bet them as 6½-point road chalk. LeBron James stole the show -- yet again -- with a triple-double (33 points, 12 rebounds, 12 assists) and the Cavs took a four-game series weep between the two Central Division foes for the first time since the ’05-06 season.

Cleveland has won two of three straight up (1-1-1 ATS) against Milwaukee this season, but the Bucks are hoping they can even the series with a result similar to the last time these teams met when the Bucks bounced the Cavs 119-116 and covered as 1½-point home underdogs. Fortunately for Milwaukee, they will miss the return of Cleveland’s Kevin Love who has just about healed from a broken hand sustained in late January. Love’s absence is not negligible as he has averaged over 23 points per game against the Bucks this season. In addition, the Cavs’ defense is nowhere to be found as they appear to be ready, willing and able to shoot it out rather than muscle up on the defensive end. Cleveland has the 27th-ranked D in the league, allowing 110.1 points per game but over their last five have surrendered over 114 PPG. Milwaukee will benefit from this ole’ defense and no one more than the Greek Freak himself, Antetokounmpo.

I think we are all waiting for the Cavaliers to be, well, the Cavaliers but this team has had a major facelift this season and LeBron is going it alone. Conversely, Milwaukee is a live dog, gunning for their fourth win over their last five games, and one that could easily win this one outright but we will take the points that the NBA odds makers are giving us -- just in case.

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