Late Showdown: Shade Clippers -5.5 Our Sharp NBA Pick Against Rockets

Nikki Adams

Monday, January 18, 2016 8:34 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 18, 2016 8:34 PM UTC

Houston Rockets descend on LA Clippers for a Monday Night showdown on a jam-packed NBA betting board. Find out what basketball odds are on offer and where we’re lining up our NBA picks.

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NBA Pick: LA Clippers -5.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes


Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets are sat seventh in the Western Conference with a 22-20 mark through the first 42 games of the season, which includes a 13-10 mark at home and a 9-10 mark on the road. In terms of Southwest Standings, they are fourth in the field, trailing division leaders San Antonio Spurs (36-6) by a difference of 14 wins.

In their last ten games, the Rockets boast a encouraging 6-4 mark, which comprises winning six of their last seven games including a 112-95 win and cover over the Lakers on Sunday Night as the 9.5-point home favorites. The only defeat during this positive run of form was a 91-77 loss to Cleveland Cavaliers. Averaging 100.9 points per game and conceding 95.6 points per game, they haven’t exactly blown opponents off the court rather they’re flying close to the sun, so to speak. Flirting with mischance. So far it’s working, e doing enough to top up their win tally on the season and emerge with a 4-3 ATS record over this same stretch.

On the season, the Rockets are 17-25 ATS with a 0.8-point losing margin on average and a negative 3.2-point differential against the spread. As road underdogs, they are 3-6 ATS with a 6.7-point losing margin and a negative 3.9-point differential versus the spread.

In total betting, they are 22-20 on the season, marking the highest OVER record in the Southwest and one of the top ten in the league with a 52.4% cashing rate on the OVER. (The highest cashing rate belongs to Washington behind a 22-15-2 OVER record for a 59.5% rate of return on the OVER.


LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers are sat fourth in the Western Conference behind a 26-14 mark on the season, which includes a 14-7 mark at home and a 12-7 mark on the road. Clearly, the Clippers are a solid team both with home court advantage and as visitors. In their last ten games, they are 9-1 SU – a nigh perfect record only just marred by a loss to the Kings at home.

Indeed, the 110-103 loss to the Kings snapped a ten-game winning streak by the Clippers, which included an 8-2 ATS mark. During this run of form (last eleven games), they averaged 107.7 points per game and conceded 97.8 points for a healthy 10-point differential.

On the season, the Clippers are 18-19-3 ATS with a 3.6-point winning margin and negative 0.6-point differential against the spread. They also boast a 19-20-1 OVER record.

As home favorites, the Clippers are 8-9-1 ATS with a 6.8-point winning margin and a negative 0.6-point differential against the spread.


Betting Verdict
NBA Odds makers have gone to press with a 6-point line on this game at most sports betting outlets, which falls in line with the aforementioned stats of both teams: the Rockets are 3-6 ATS are road underdogs with a 6.7-point losing margin while the Clippers are 8-9-1 ATS as home favorites with a 6.8-point winning margin on average. It’s easy to see how this game could fall on either side of the coin.

Consensus betting polls reveal a distinct lean towards the LA Clippers with 55% of the spread tickets coming down the wire. Money trends are tipping towards the Rockets which could be an indication of sharp betting.

We’re of a mind to go with the LA Clippers at home, but we’d recommend finding a better line such as the one trading at Heritage. As it is, Heritage is offering -5.5 on the Clippers with a -105 juice which we like for our NBA picks. Anything higher and we’d be looking at the Rockets as the value NBA pick.

So there you have it, our choice NBA picks for this highly anticipated game. Be sure to shop around for the best lines available at the time of making your bets.

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