Lakers vs. Warriors NBA Picks: Large Spread on Offer as GS Seeks Record Win

Jason Lake

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 11:40 AM GMT

Nobody's found a way to beat the Golden State Warriors yet this season. The Los Angeles Lakers probably won't either, but can they beat the NBA odds this Tuesday?

Jason's 2015-16 record as of Nov. 23: 3-4 ATS

 

Now this is just getting ridiculous. The Golden State Warriors (15-0 SU, 10-5 ATS) are one victory away from breaking the NBA record for longest winning streak to start the regular season. They've had some close shaves along the way, including an overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets (+16 away) of all people. But for the most part, the defending champs have been thoroughly dominant – even better than last year's team.

The Los Angeles Lakers (2-11 SU, 4-9 ATS) have seen better times. These guys are pretty much going through the motions in what is obviously another rebuilding year for the once-proud franchise; Kobe Bryant (11.9 PER, –3.6 BPM) is now one of the worst players on the Lakers, and his teammates are a motley and ill-fitting collection of prospects and veterans. Los Angeles has opened as a 17.5-point road dog on our NBA odds board for Tuesday's matchup; tip-off is at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

 

Night on Splash Mountain
In case anyone still has any ideas about the Warriors getting “lucky” last year, or Stephen Curry somehow not deserving of MVP honors, well, fuggedaboudit. Curry (33.5 PER, +12.3 BPM) is on an absolute tear to start the 2015-16 campaign, putting up 33.5 points per 36 minutes while hitting 43.8 percent of his 3-pointers. And Curry isn't even the most accurate long-range bomber on his team. Andre Iguodala (46.5 percent) and Draymond Green (43.9 percent) have been even more deadly from the perimeter.

The Warriors could do better, though. Klay Thompson (14.4 PER, –0.7 BPM) is off to a slow start. Andrew Bogut (20.3 PER, +6.6 BPM) has missed six games thus far, although he's back in the lineup for now. Shaun Livingston (8.7 PER, –2.3 BPM) has also been limited by injuries. Otherwise, it's all systems go for the champs.

 

It Was Fun While It Lasted
The Lakers went through the motions of assembling a plausible playoff contender in the Western Conference, but everything hinged on Bryant being healthy and somewhat effective in the twilight of his outstanding career. No such luck. Bryant is still taking more shots (16.6 per game) than any of his teammates, but he's only hitting 33.1 percent from the field and 20.0 percent from behind the arc. That's on seven 3-point attempts per game, by the way. Didn't Byron Scott say something about not shooting so many threes?

Bryant's new teammates have been a mixed bag. Roy Hibbert (17.0 PER, +2.1 BPM) is your new leading Laker, although he's done most of his good work on defense, as has Brandon Bass (15.1 PER, –0.6 BPM). Lou Williams (14.4 PER, o –2.4 BPM) has provided some offense off the bench, but he's only hitting 23.6 percent of his threes. Metta World Peace (11.9 PER, –0.8 PER) is there to sell tickets, and none of L.A.'s younger players has made any impact yet. We're still adding the Lakers to our NBA picks, though. Since the start of last year, the Warriors are 2-7 ATS when laying at least 16 points. Smell the value.

Free NBA Pick: Lakers +17.5 at Ladbrokes

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