Lakers' Recent Pace Prompts 'First-Half Over' Pick vs. Heat

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, March 1, 2018 3:23 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 1, 2018 3:23 PM UTC

Los Angeles has been rolling since the break, winning three in a row SU and ATS. Can they keep it going tonight when they take their fast-paced approach into Miami?

Thursday NBA: Lakers vs. HeatFree NBA Pick: Over 110½ 1HBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Even though all three of Los Angeles' wins after the All-Star break are against fellow lottery teams, it’s nonetheless impressive for a young team that has shown some promise. However, tonight they are all the way across the country in Miami. Even after two full days off between games, the Lakers still might be susceptible to giving up a ton of points.

The Lakers are giving up an average of 114.4 points per game over their past five games straddling the break, in part because of their lightning-fast pace.

Look at some highlights from the Lakers’ road win over the Hawks. Against a team willing to match pace with them, it turned into a bloodbath quickly:

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Even though Josh Hart is out tonight and for the foreseeable future, the Lakers are stacked with young depth. Nine of the 10 guys who played against the Hawks scored in double-figures, and if that happens again tonight you can bet the "over" is going to cash.

The Lakers and Heat have yet to play this season, and that should help the game become a little higher scoring. The Heat have been solid lately on offense, averaging nearly 111 per game in their last five.

Keeping all that in mind, it’s actually the first-half total on the NBA odds board that seems like the best play. In their most recent meeting more than a year ago, these teams went 58-56 in the first half. A similar halftime score could be in store, and with a first-half total of 110½ it could be one of the better plays on tonight's short NBA slate.

These teams are averaging 56 or more points per first half in their last five games. The Lakers have been giving up more than 57 points per first half in their last five, and 58.5 points per first half on the road. If the Heat are flirting with 60 first-half points, the "over" is the play with your NBA picks.

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