L.A. Lakers at L.A. Clippers Close Out Monday Night's NBA Betting

Jason Lake

Monday, November 27, 2017 12:59 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 27, 2017 12:59 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Lakers make the very short trip Monday night to face the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center – and the wounded Clips are favorites on the NBA odds board.

Free NBA Pick: Lakers +4.5 (–102)
Best Line Available at Pinnacle

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The Los Angeles Clippers looked like they were going to be solid NBA picks this year. They traded Chris Paul to the Houston Rockets for seven players, then signed former Euroleague MVP Milos Teodosic to replace Paul at point guard. Brilliant – except for the part where Teodosic developed plantar fasciitis in his left foot. And former Rockets PG Patrick Beverley needed microfracture surgery on his right knee. Oy.

Despite their issues at the 1-spot, the Clippers (7-11 SU and ATS) opened as 4.5-point favorites for Monday’s “home” game against the L.A. Lakers (8-11 SU, 9-10 ATS), tipping off at 10:30 p.m. Eastern. And the Clips have already moved to –5 on the NBA odds board. This is with 67-percent of first responders picking the Lakers, according to our consensus reports. Something is amiss here.

What’s It All About, Austin?
Well, the NBA lines just opened as we write this, so the consensus in question might be two bettors out of three, who knows. And the Lakers are still the more popular commodity of the two L.A. teams on the public money charts. Let’s just say this is an interesting situation that requires further monitoring.

Meanwhile, the Clippers (minus-1.10 SRS) have actually outplayed the Lakers (minus-3.42 SRS) this year despite having the worse record, according to the Simple Rating System at Basketball-Reference. FiveThirtyEight likes the Clips to win about 73-percent of the time, or –6 according to their projections. ESPN’s Basketball Power Index has their chances at 67.1 percent, which is closer to that –5 mark. Fine, but do these projections properly take the Teodosic/Beverley injuries into account? Do they understand that Austin Rivers (minus-2.5 BPM) is running the point now?

On top of that, Larry Nance Jr. (plus-0.9 BPM) is expected to return for the Lakers Monday after missing most of November with a broken left hand. He might need a couple of games to get in the groove, but this is still a plus for the Lakers, who are healthy otherwise. The Clippers are 2-5 SU and ATS without their top two point guards. We’re going to keep plucking that chicken, thank you kindly.

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