Knicks Up the Creek vs. 76ers Minus Porzingis

Jason Lake

Monday, February 12, 2018 12:41 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 12, 2018 12:41 PM UTC

He might be the cornerstone of the franchise, but with Kristaps Porzingis on the shelf the New York Knicks could be the right NBA pick vs. the Philadelphia 76ers. Or not. 

New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ersFree NBA Pick: Philadelphia –11.5Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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The New York Knicks got some really bad news last week: All-Star big man Kristaps Porzingis will miss the rest of the season after tearing his left ACL in Tuesday’s loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. That should pretty much do it for the Knicks (23-34 SU, 28-29 ATS) this year. They might even decide to start tanking; Thursday’s 113-88 loss to the Toronto Raptors (–14 at home) was anything but inspiring, and Sunday’s 121-113 loss to the Indiana Pacers (–7.5 at home) wasn’t much better.

Then again, when a team loses its superstar, it often performs better against the NBA odds. Casual bettors tend to overreact to these injuries, and it’s not like Porzingis (plus-0.1 BPM) was killing it for New York this year. Maybe there’s some value in picking the Knicks for Monday night’s road game against the Philadelphia 76ers (28-25 SU, 30-22-1 ATS), which starts at 7 p.m. Eastern on NBA-TV.

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3 players register double-doubles in Indy, including @emmanuelmudiay's 14-point, 10-assist debut. The @MajorEnergy Postgame Report ⤵️


— NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) February 12, 2018

Leaving New York’s Never Easy

Nah, probably not. Just after the holidays, we put the Knicks on notice for their awful 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS performance on the road. Since then, New York has played 18 of its last 24 away from Madison Square Garden, with a record of 5-13 SU and 8-10 ATS. Not as profitable a fade as we would have hoped, but profitable nonetheless.

The Knicks will also be playing Monday on zero days of rest, with travel thrown in; they’re 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS this year in the second of back-to-back games. The Sixers were idle on Sunday; they’re 18-12 SU and ATS playing on one day of rest. Philadelphia is also 4-1 SU and ATS over the past five games, with a relatively healthy lineup compared to New York’s.

Then you have the tanking factor. The Knicks own their own first-round pick in the 2018 NBA Draft, so they have plenty of incentive to keep losing. They’re also taking a flyer on PG Emmanuel Mudiay (minus-4.5 BPM), picking him up from the Denver Nuggets at the trade deadline, while sending SG Doug McDermott (minus-1.5 BPM) to the Dallas Mavericks in a three-way deal. Let’s just keep fading New York for our NBA picks. Trust The Process.

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