Knicks & Nets To Go 'Over The Total In Brooklyn As Your NBA Pick

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, February 19, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

In what has been a relatively high scoring head-to-head series, leaky defense on both ends could lead to yet another ‘over’ when the New York Knicks visit the Brooklyn Nets Friday.

 

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NBA Pick: Over 200
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

Two teams that were struggling going into the All-Star break match up in their first game back Friday, and a lack of defense on both ends could lead to a high scoring affair when the New York Knicks (23-32, 29-26 ATS) make the short trip over the Brooklyn Bridge to pay a visit to their crosstown rival Brooklyn Nets (14-40, 26-27-1 ATS) at the Barclay Center in Brooklyn, NY at 7:35 ET in a game available on YES.

The posted total at BetOnline is 201 for this contest with the current NBA odds on the ‘over’ set at -110.

 

Knicks Falling Out of Playoff Contention
The Knicks looked like perhaps the most improved team in the NBA earlier this season as they sat with a winning record and still to this day remain the team that came closest to beating the Spurs in San Antonio this year in a one-point loss, but New York lost its last six games and 10 of its last 11 heading into the All-Star break, and the Knicks have now fallen five games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

Thus, New York fired Coach Derek Fisher just before the break and replaced him with interim coach Kurt Rambis, who was an assistant under Fisher and is now auditioning for the permanent job the rest of this season.

The Nets meanwhile own the second worst record in the Eastern Conference and the third worst in the NBA at 14-40, as only sharing the Atlantic Division with the worst team in the league in the Philadelphia 76ers (8-45) is keeping Brooklyn out of the basement. The Nets too made a coaching change earlier this year firing Lionel Hollins in favor of interim coach Tony Brown and they have gone a dismal 4-13 as NBA picks since Brown took over.

 

First Two Meetings This Season Went ‘over’
This is the third meeting of the season between these crosstown rivals and the first two meetings both went ‘over’ the total rather easily. Most recently, the Nets recorded one of only 14 wins they have all year by downing the Knicks 110-104 right here in Brooklyn in a game that saw the Nets shoot 52.3 percent from the field, including shooting 9-for-17, 52.9 percent from three-point range.

No, the Nets are not that good of a shooting team but the Knicks’ defense has made quite a few opposing offenses seem better than they are, and that has been especially true over the last nine games, during which New York is allowing a disappointing 104.7 points per game on 46.5 percent shooting, which is up from the 101.3 points and 44.3 percent field goal percentage the Knicks are allowing for the season.

The Nets meanwhile have been bad all year defensively, ranking 22nd in points against at 103.6 per game overall, and remember that is while playing at a slow pace for most of the season when Hollins was the coach. Brooklyn ranks a poor 29th in field goal percentage allowed at 47.0 percent and 28th in defensive efficiency.

 

Nets Showing Improvement Offensively
One thing the Nets have done under Brown is run a bit more, so while they remain 28th in the league in scoring at 96.3 points per game overall, they have now reached 100 points in five of the last seven games while averaging 103.4 points during this current span. Of course, another offshoot of that has been a faster pace exposing the defense more, as Brooklyn allowed over 100 points in all seven of those games while surrendering an ungodly average of 108.4 points!

The Knicks are 23rd in the league in scoring at 99.1 points per game, but they certainly have some very good offensive weapons in Carmelo Anthony, Arron Afflalo and rookie Kristaps Porzingis, and New York easily surpassed its scoring average for the season in the first two meetings this season. Given the state of the Brooklyn defense right now, we do not expect New York having much trouble surpassing the century mark in this game either.

 

Fairly High-Scoring Series
Finally, the high scoring in this head-to-head New York rivalry series is not confined to just the two meetings this season, as the ‘over’ is now 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Brooklyn. The ‘over’ is also 5-0 in the Nets last five games following a straight up loss, as well as 4-0 in the Knicks’ last four games when playing on more than three days rest.

Given the form of these two defenses, we see no reason why those patterns could not continue for at least one more game so go ‘over’ again when the New York Knicks visit the Brooklyn Nets on Friday.