Knicks-Clippers Destined to go 'Over' in Matchup of Tankers

knicks clippers

Jordan Sharp

Friday, March 2, 2018 3:36 PM GMT

Friday, Mar. 2, 2018 3:36 PM GMT

One of tonight's NBA matchups with a total of more than 220 points is New York at Los Angeles. Can we really expect a high-scoring game, or is this a carefully laid trap by the sportsbooks?

Friday NBA: Knicks vs. ClippersFree NBA Pick: Over 225½Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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I spent my morning trying to come up with ways to overthink this game, but as the saying goes, sometimes the chalk is the chalk for a reason.

In this matchup tonight the chalk is the "over," with the total on the NBA odds board at 225½. Even though they are doing their best to try and hide the fact they want to lose, the Clippers are tanking after the trade of Blake Griffin.

Los Angeles is doing a good job of masking their intentions, but in the end they do not want to make the playoffs only to be embarrassed by Golden State in the first round. They would rather net a late lottery draft pick and watch some other team become the Warriors' sacrificial lamb.

Tonight, however, they are playing New York, another tanking team (albeit because of a sad injury to their only star player). The Knicks have cashed the "over" in five of their last six games straddling the All-Star break, and in their past five they are giving up 117 points per game.

The good news is the Clippers’ defense is also trash, allowing 119 points per game over their last five. Even though the Clippers have been much better at cashing the "under" in non-conference games, the Knicks lead the league cashing the "over" in non-conference games at 16-9.

Even though you could make the argument that the Clippers can clamp down on the Knicks defensively at home, New York has been so bad on offense that it might not even matter. According to NBA Stats, the Clippers play at a pace of more than 100 possessions per game against Eastern Conference opponents, so if they are hitting shots against a now-spotty New York defense, the "over" is definitely in play as a one-unit wager with your NBA picks.

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