Kings vs. Rockets NBA Picks: Bet Sacramento To Cover ATS

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, April 13, 2016 8:41 PM GMT

A playoff spot hangs in the balance for Houston when they welcome the Sacramento. Will the Rockets clinch or will the Kings bump the Rockets out of the fame. Here’s our preview complete with NBA picks.

Sacramento Kings Eliminated
The Sacramento Kings are rundown and depleted with just one game left to go on a season that was largely disappointing behind a 33-48-0 mark, underscored by an 18-23-0 mark at home and a 15-25-0 mark on the road.

Curiously, they are riding a two-game winning streak down the stretch – too little too late, some would say. They are 5-5 SU in their last seven games and 7-7 SU in their last 14 games. Once again, too little too late.

Still, the Kings could play spoiler for the Rockets tonight at the Toyota Centre and given their current mini-momentum they can’t be dismissed out of hand even if the market is and doing it quite brazenly. The Sacramento Kings are matched as the whopping +1528 road underdogs at Pinnacle to win straight up. That’s quite the NBA pick to close out the regular season, mind.

Against the spread, the Sacramento Kings opened as the 14.5-point road underdogs but they were quickly bet up in the market by a point or two. Most sportsbooks are hanging the Kings on a 15.5-point spread but some have gone as high as 16-points.

Houston Rockets On The Edge
The Houston Rockets clinch a playoff spot with a win at the Toyota Center tonight and if the NBA odds were any indication they should pull off the feat. Across the board the game is cornered overwhelmingly in their camp. They are the masters of their own playoff destiny with home advantage underscoring their chances. That’s not a bad position to be in. Although by clinching the eighth seed, they’ll have the monumental task of taking on the defending champions Golden State Warriors – perhaps, we should worry about that later.

They’ve not won a spot yet so there is all to play for yet. The Rockets aren’t exactly infallible at home with a 22-18-0 record on the season that includes a 16-24-0 ATS record and a 0.8-point margin of victory on average. Indeed, the Rockets should win but the Kings could make it a closer contest than the bookies would have you believe.

On the season as a whole the Rockets are just 35-45-0 ATS with a 0.2-point losing margin and a negative 1.7-point differential versus the spread. As home favorites, they are a subpar 11-21-0 ATS with a 1.5-point winning margin and a plus 4.8-point differential versus the spread. Consider Sacramento Kings are 18-13-1 ATS as road underdogs with a -4.2-point losing margin on average and a plus 2.7-point differential versus the spread.

 

NBA Betting Verdict
By all accounts, Houston Rockets should win this game straight up and book their place in the playoffs. Color the world shocked if the Kings dump the Rockets out of contention. The market has sucked all value out of the Rockets in straight up betting markets though, so we’re giving their NBA odds there a skip and turning our hand to the spread. Now, this is where things get interesting: the market is giving 15.5 points to the Kings as they take on the Rockets, who aren’t exactly a model of consistency and not in the habit of blowing opponents off the court. Heck, by the stats, they’re barely making the grade against the spread as home favorites with an 11-21-0 ATS mark. That leaves us no choice but to take the Kings plus the points on our NBA picks.

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NBA Picks: Kings +16
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle