Kings Minus Fox Is A Good Thing vs. Clippers

Jason Lake

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 12:44 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017 12:44 PM UTC

The Sacramento Kings had an albatross around their neck. Now that De’Aaron Fox is injured, Sacto could be a decent NBA pick for Tuesday’s game against the L.A. Clippers.

Sacramento Kings vs L.A. Clippers

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Free NBA Pick: Under 206.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

Spoiler alert: We’re about to say some bad things about De’Aaron Fox. The rookie point guard for the Sacramento Kings has many positive attributes, and we have no desire to impugn his character here at the home office, but Fox has struggled through the first 29 games of his career – he’s been one of the worst players on an already dubious team. Fox is out for a couple of weeks with a partial tear in his right quadriceps; as a result, Sacramento (11-21 SU, 14-15-3 ATS) could be worth a spin as 5-point road dogs for Tuesday’s game against the Los Angeles Clippers (13-19 SU, 16-15-1 ATS).

Could be. The Clippers have been a hot NBA pick since Blake Griffin got hurt, going 5-8 SU and 8-4-1 ATS without their figurehead player. Figuring out what to do with all the other injuries surrounding this team has been a pain, but there aren’t any medical question marks for the Clippers in Tuesday’s game (10:30 p.m. ET, NBA-TV), so at least we have some NBA odds to work with. Let’s riggidy-roll.

Fox Plus/Minus

Let’s get back to Fox for a moment. The fifth overall pick in the NBA Draft spent one year with the Kentucky Wildcats, where he shot 24.6 percent from college 3-point range. Fox has been working on this, of course, but with the line three feet farther back, he’s shooting 28.9 percent for the Kings. That leaves Fox at minus-5.6 in the Box Plus/Minus department, with minus-4.2 of that coming at the offensive end.

Fox has already missed two games for Sacramento – they split the pair SU and ATS. To be fair, they were on a roll at 6-7 SU and 8-4-1 ATS before the injury, but that also coincides with the return of veteran Vince Carter (minus-2.6 BPM) to active duty. Carter has played much better of late, and he’s one of Sacramento’s only quality defenders at plus-1.2 DBPM. The way Carter has transformed his game since his All-Star years is truly remarkable.

What’s that? Carter is iffy for Tuesday with a rib injury? Ah, crud. This is starting to look like last week’s game between the Clippers and the Phoenix Suns, where we weren’t sure if Lou Williams was going to play for Los Angeles. Williams (plus-1.3 BPM) is more important for L.A. than Carter is for the Kings, but let’s go ahead and split our picks again; this time, we’ll recommend the UNDER if Carter plays and the Clippers if he doesn’t. As always, see what happens at the shootaround, and may the sphere be with you.

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