Kings Look To Scare Pacers In Halloween Clash

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, October 31, 2017 12:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017 12:26 PM UTC

Kings fans are frightened at the team’s 1-5 record as it begins a grueling three-game road trip at the 3-3 Pacers on Halloween night. Indiana is laying 5.5 points for the contest. Don’t be scared to back Sacramento in this spot. Here’s why.

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Free NBA Pick: Kings +5.5Best Line Offered:  at 5DimesKings (1-5) vs Pacers (3-3)

New Pacers guard Victor Oladipo, who leads the team with 25.5 points per game, drained a step-back 3-pointer over the Spurs’ LaMarcus Aldridge on Sunday with 10.3 seconds left to give Indiana a dramatic 97-94 home win versus the Western Conference powerhouse. The Pacers tipped off 6.5-point underdogs for the meeting, giving them just their third straight-up home win at the line or higher since 2010. Can bettors expect a drop-off when the Kings come to town? Indiana has a history. The franchise is 4-11 SU and ATS in its last 15 games following a victory catching points.

The new-look Pacers are 3-3 on the season with Olidapo emerging as the star. The fifth-year pro is joined in the first-team with former Kings point man Darren Collison at guard, while Bojan Bogdanovic, Thaddeus Young and Domantas Sabonis fill the paint. The bunch rank fifth in the NBA with 111.2 points per game and are playing at a sixth-quickest 101.3 pace (possessions per 48 minutes).

Rookie guard De’Aaron Fox is leading the 1-5 Kings early in the year. The No. 5 overall pick tops the team in points (12.7) and assists (5.0) per game. His explosiveness off the dribble is stunning defenders and allowing the offense to generate greater space and better looks. Still, the young unit is a work in progress, averaging just 96.0 points per game. The team’s effective field goal rate is 47.3 percent, ranking 28th in the league. Fox is joined by the No.6 overall pick in the 2016 Draft Buddy Hield at guard with Bogdan Bogdanovic, Skai Labissiere, and Willie Cauley-Stein filling out the starting five. Each are younger than 26-years old.

Sacramento head coach Dave Joerger seems trapped in a perpetual state of tweaking and tinkering with his lineups since the front office traded DeMarcus Cousins to the Pelicans last February. Fans are frustrated and the franchise is sinking quickly. Since Joerger took over, Sacramento is 33-55 overall. Since Cousins left, it has won just 8 of its last 30 games, losing by 7.8 points per tilt. Labissiere and Hield are the only two players to score more than 26 points in a contest in this span. Both came against the Suns. Coach is desperate for a go-to player.

Joerger stated he wishes to play at a faster clip this season to allow Fox to shine in transition. It’s not happening. The Kings rank 26th with a 95.5 pace. Why the discrepancy? For one, in addition to poor shooting, the team can’t rebound, yanking down just 73.8 percent defensive boards (27th). To run, teams need to trap opponents deep in their own half to be effective.

We’re expecting the Kings to be a little better on the glass and to play as intended tonight. The defense and rim protection are there, but the team is handicapped by its lack of scoring.  The good news for Sacramento fans is that it has put up 100 points or more in six of the last seven against Indiana. Under Joerger, on the road, Sacramento is 14-3 ATS and the ‘over’ 14-2-1 when reaching the century mark. That’s where we’re leaning here. Pick the Kings +5.5 and ‘over’ 210 for your best bets. Check out SBR Picks live Youtube page throughout the day to get further analysis for this Halloween matchup.

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