Kings Host Ailing Clippers Saturday Night

Jay Pryce

Saturday, November 25, 2017 5:22 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 25, 2017 5:22 PM UTC

The Clippers are reeling, losing nine of their last 10 games. Still, they are a sizeable favorite (-4.5) for a trip to Golden 1 Center to take on the Kings Saturday night (10 p.m. ET). Need a pick? We got ya covered. 

Clippers (-4) vs Kings

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Free NBA Pick: 'under' 204.5Best Line Offered: at HeritageClip in Pain, Tossing in the Towel?

The Clippers are in a world of hurt, literally. Point guard Patrick Beverly is out for the remainder of the season after microfracture knee surgery, 30-year old rookie shooting guard Milos Teodosic is not close to returning after sustaining a plantar fascia injury in the second game of the year, and small forward Danilo Gallinari is missing until at least early December rehabbing from a glute problem. Adjusting has proven tough for head coach Doc Rivers. L.A. snapped a 9-game losing streak with a 116-103 win at Atlanta on Wednesday. It was the longest winless run for the franchise since 2010, the last season it failed to finish with a winning record (32-50).

Rumors are swirling the Clip might already be contemplating packing it in with center DeAndre Jordan possibly on the trading block. Jordan is averaging 10.4 points and 13.8 rebounds a night, owed nearly $23 million for this year. Veteran guard Lou Williams (17.3 ppg) and Blake Griffin (22.9 ppg) are proving the only reliable scorers on a team lacking offensive explosiveness and young players ready to take control. At 6-11 SU for the year, a rebuild is looming.

L.A. is 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 visits to Golden 1 Center. A hot offense is the difference-maker, averaging 109.7 points per game. Rivers' squad has exceeded their projected team total in all but two contests.

Kings Protect Their Throne, Offense Lacking

Sacramento (-11.3) relinquished the NBA's worst scoring margin to the Bulls (-12.9) after a 113-102 win at the Lakers on Wednesday. It was the team's first road victory in 10 attempts, losing by 17.1 points per game. At home, the Kings are tougher, going 4-4 overall with a -4 point differential. They've tipped off underdogs in each with a 5.6 average line.

Coach Dave Joerger called the Lakers win one of the most “complete games from start to finish” for Sacramento this season. Veteran big man Zach Randolph scored 22 points, pulled down 7 rebounds, and dished out 7 assists. Frank Mason III tallied 11 points, 7 helpers, and 5 boards. Joeger lacks a go-to scorer and the team needs to have several hot hands to do much offensively. Since DeMarcus Cousins parted ways with the team last February, just two players (Skla Labissiere, Buddy Hield) have posted 30 points in a single game—both the against the porous Suns.

Randolph is a player that makes a difference when efficient from the floor this season. Averaging just 24.1 minuted per game, Z-Bo has posted 18 points or more four times. The Kings won three.

Pick

The Kings play at the slowest pace in the league averaging 95.2 possessions per 48 minutes. At Golden 1 Center, they push the tempo to a middle-of-the-pack 97.3 average. This style has proven an asset against defenses allowing fewer shots than the Kings attempt per game. Since Joerger took over, Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in this situation, including two home victories as 11 and 7-point underdogs hosting the Thunder and Trail Blazers in 2017. Defense shines in this spot. It is holding opponents to 40.5 percent from the floor in six game since Cousins left. We're not sure the Kings can top even the most ailing of Clippers teams tonight, but the 'under' holds some value. Both teams are in desperate need of offense and it should keep scoring low in a slow-paced contest. Pick 'under' 204.5 for your best bet.

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