Kevin Durant's Status Looms Large for Pick in Warriors-Blazers Game 3

kevin durant

Jay Pryce

Thursday, April 20, 2017 7:29 PM GMT

The Warriors-Trail Blazers series shifts to Moda Center on Saturday (10:30 p.m. ET) for Game 3. Golden State, which owns a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-7, has won 11 of the last 12 matchups vs. Portland.

The Warriors trounced the Trail Blazers 110-81 in Game 2 Wednesday night. It was the second-fewest points head coach Steve Kerr’s squad has allowed all season, holding Portland to 33.3 percent shooting.

Kerr’s modus operandi is defense-first when Kevin Durant sits out this season, and he was a scratch from the lineup in Game 2 with a sore left calf. The Warriors allow 99.7 points per game on 42.4 percent shooting in 21 contests with Durant out of the lineup, as opposed to 105.5 points on 43.7 percent from the floor when the former MVP plays. The big gap in points yielded is proving impactful in the totals market. The 'under' is 15-4-2 with Durant sidelined, staying south of the number (218.4) by 8.7 points per game.

Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum were ice cold Wednesday, combining for 23 points on 9-for-34 shooting. It was just the second time all season the duo was held to fewer than a combined 30 points in a game. When Portland’s two leading scorers are stuffed for 40 points or fewer this year, the team is 4-10 ATS, losing by nearly 11 points to the line (2.8). The 'under' is even more lopsided, sitting 16.5 points below an average 215.6 closing total. Lillard and McCollum will look to get their game back on track at Moda Center, where they average 49.9 points per game.

Since Lillard took over the point in 2012, the Trail Blazers are 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS vs. the Warriors at Moda Center. The betting market has struggled to pin down a total with the 'over' going 8-3, sailing past the number by 11.8 points per game. Three-pointers have been the difference-maker with each team shooting a remarkable 41.8 percent from downtown.

With a comfortable series lead, Kerr may opt to rest Durant again Saturday in an effort to get the team fully healthy for the second round. His playing status is key to any wager. Stick with the season trend if Durant sits.

Free NBA Pick: 'Under' 217Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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