Jazz vs. Bulls NBA Picks: Betting Trends Suggest Low-Scoring Game

Kevin Stott

Saturday, March 19, 2016 5:49 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 19, 2016 5:49 PM GMT

The Bulls welcome the Jazz to the United Center in Chicago on Saturday night for this inter-conference meeting. Who should we back with our NBA picks?

Let’s handicap and preview this weekend game from the Windy City and look into the L10 meetings in this series as well as any recent Trends, current SU and ATS records, Streaks, Injuries and what’s happened ATS in the L10 meetings in this series and try to come up with a logical NBA pick worth recommending.

 

Odds Overview
The Chicago Bulls (34-33 SU, 22-12 SU Home) play host to Derrick Favors and the Utah Jazz (32-35 SU, 11-22 SU Road) in the second of two meetings between these two teams with Utah winning the first meeting in Salt Lake City in OT, 105-96 on Feb. 1, and covering by a basket (UTAH -5½, Total, 191 Over). Oddsmakers have opened up the host Bulls as modest 2-point favorites (Paddy Power) with the game’s Total (Points) set at 196½ (Betfair). The Money Line (Winner) NBA odds here sees Chicago priced as -125 Home favorites with Utah lined at +105 on the takeback (Paddy Power) while the 1st Half line has been set with the Bulls as 2½-point chalks (Marathon) with the 1st Half Total at 97½ (Over -116, William Hill). O at this earliest stage of the odds release, we have a Halftime line higher than the actual game line, although few precincts are reporting early this morning.

 

Utah Jazz
The Utah Jazz (33-35-0 ATS, 14-19-0 ATS Road) and Head Coach Quin Snyder are in 9th place in the Western Conference, 1½ games behind both the Houston Rockets (34-34) and Dallas Mavericks (34-34) with 14 games left in the Regular Season on their schedule. In their last game, the Jazz eclipsed the Phoenix Suns, 103-69 at Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City on Thursday night as Trey Lyles had 17 points and Joe Ingles—who started a scond consecutive game with Utah (500/1 to win NBA Championship, totesport) star Gordon Hayward (Foot) out with an Injury—had a career-high 15 points and 6 steals in the victory. And yes, you read it right: Phoenix scored just 69 points, a season low. Shelvin Mack (15 points, 8 rebounds, 10 assists) was two boards short of a Triple-Double for the Jazz (98.0 AF-97.1 AA) while Rudy Gobert had 16 rebounds. Besides Hayward (Day-to-Day) and the Plantar Fasciitis in his Right Foot, on the Injury front for Utah (4-6 SU L10), SG Alec Burks (Ankle) is Out Indefinitely while PG Dante Exum (Knee) is Out for the Season.

 

Chicago Bulls
The Chicago Bulls (28-39-0 ATS, 15-19-0 ATS Home) and 1st-year Head Coach Fred Hoiberg moved from 9th place to 8th place—with ½-game lead over the now 9th-place Detroit Pistons (34-34) as the two Central Division teams fight for that final Playoff spot in the Eastern Conference—on Thursday night with a St. Patrick’s Day-Night 118-102 win over the Brooklyn Nets at the United Center in Chicago as Creighton-product Doug McDermott (25 points) scored over 20 points for a third straight game and a healed Jimmy Butler added 22 points as Chicago got a season-high 60 points from its Bench including 12 from Bobby Portis (14 rebounds) as the hosts ran out to a 55-37 Halftime lead. Injury-ravaged Chicago (500/1 to win NBA championship, Paddy Power) played without starting C Pau Gasol (Knee) who missed his third straight contest with Inflammation of the Right Knee and Hoiberg said that although Gasol “is significantly better” and hoping to taking stationary shots in practice on Friday, that he will not be playing here on Saturday night against Utah and that Gasol (Listed as Doubtful) will be re-evaluated after the Bulls game on Monday against the Sacramento Kings. Chicago (4-7 SU L11) was also without Joakim Noah (Shoulder), PF Nikola Mirotic (Appendix) and PF Cameron Bairstow (Back) who are both Out Indefinitely, but Derrick Rose (12 points) played with his persisting Groin problems and Taj Gibson (Hamstring)—who was listed as Doubtful—started and scored 12 points for the Bulls (101.8 AF-103.1 AA)..

 

Recent Trends, L10 Meetings in Series and Logical Reasoning and Pick
In the L10 meetings in this series, the teams have split 5-5 ATS but the Jazz have actually W4 in a row ATS as well as W4 SU. In only one of the L7 games has one of the two teams scored more than 100 points—and it was because of Overtime—and the Under is is 7-3 in those 10 meetings with the Under 6-1 in the L7, with the Over hitting in the last hookup, that aforementioned OT game in Utah earlier this Regular Season. So, the recent, relevant Trends point to the Jazz and the Under in this series. Playing on 1-Day Rest, Utah is 18-18 ATS this year while Chicago is an ugly 13-23 ATS, but for some proper perspective on all of Chicago’s nasty ATS SU and other betting tool numbers, remember the entire Starting lineup (Rose, Butler, Noah, Gasol, Gibson) has been hurt this year and the Mirotic Injury is massive, even if many aren’t familiar with the 25-year-old Montenegrin-Spanish who averaged 10.2 ppg and 10.5 ppg in his Rookie year. Mirotic is a player the Bulls should build around for the Future. 

 

Some Other Trends
Utah is 12-2 ATS on Saturdays but the Jazz are 2-7 ATS the L9 on the Road and all honesty, this is one of those foggy handicaps in which picking a side seems like a tough thing with both teams evenly matched, Utah holding the recent series Trend edge but the game being in Chicago and all of those Injuries and players recovering from them while playing add to the confusion. Slight lean to the homeboys—especially with Hayward out—who can hold that precious 8th spot and move 2 games over .500, but no recommendation, especially knowing Chicago (6-2 ATS L8 Home games) is a dismal 7-22 ATS the L29 Saturday games, as random as a Day of the Week ATS streak can be the streaks themselves and not these specific numbers). But the Total is enticing. The Under is 17-5-1 in the L23 Jazz games played on a Saturday (73.9%) although the Over is 8-3 the L11 Bulls games versus Western Conference foes. But with Under having W6 of the L7 in this series and the only Over and triple-digit Team Total coming because of that extra 5-minute session, the Under is the pick here.

Final Score Prediction: Bulls 94 Jazz 92

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NBA Pick: Under 195
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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