Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Kings ATS
Best Line Offered: Bookmaker
The Kings at Raptors game opened with Toronto being favored by just five points, but with speculation that Kawhi Leonard could be making his return after missing the last two game, the line on the NBA odds board has spiked to the home team favored by 11 points. Sacramento is in the midst of a six game road trip and having already lost two of the first three games on this trip, they were looking to catch a break by avoiding one of the best two-way players in the entire league.
Combine Leonard’s return with the fact that the Raptors have won 10 straight home games and it is very clear that the Kings face an uphill battle. Luckily for Sacramento, the Raptors are one of the worst teams in the NBA in terms of covering spreads. Toronto has a dismal 20-27 record ATS this season, which ranks as the second -to-worst mark in the NBA. They also have a less-than-stellar 11-13 record at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
Even though Sacramento has struggled on their road trip, they continue to receive a lot of support from their bench players in the last few weeks. The Kings’ leading scorer in their MLK Day loss to the Brooklyn Nets was Bogdan Bogdanovic, who scored 22 points to go along with 11 assists. Second-year man Justin Jackson contributed 14 points and the Kings will need their two bench wing players to heavily contribute against the Raptors, who boast one of the deepest rosters in the league.
Toronto will be without O.G. Anunoby, who will miss his fourth straight game due to personal reasons, but they have C.J. Miles and Norman Powell to lean on as bench wing depth. The Raptors may very well win this game and continue on their path as one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference, but they will continue their struggle with covering games and allow the Kings to keep this game close at the very least. Smart bettors will lay a few units on the Kings and prosper.
- Sacramento is 5-1 ATS as away underdogs
- Toronto is 11-13 ATS as home favorites
- Toronto is 7-11 against Western Conference teams
Tuesday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Mavericks ATS
Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
Dennis Smith Jr. had spent time away from the Mavericks because of an “illness’ and is set to make a return against the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday Night. The only thing Smith was sick about was the fact that the team that drafted him in the 2017 lottery continually disrespected him by publicly putting him on the trade block and making it seem as if he has been less than an exemplary teammate in his tenure in Dallas. Yes, Smith has struggled to find his footing as a point guard and leader of a team, but he deserved better than to be discarded as trash due to the rise of Luka Doncic.
The Mavericks have most certainly found their franchise player of the future in the No. 3 overall pick from Slovenia, but that does not mean there isn’t a world where he and Smith can coexist on the court. Doncic is magnificent as a primary ball-handler and playmaker in the pick-and-roll in Dallas, while Smith has struggled to command an offense in his year and a half in the league.
Smith has the requisite athleticism to excel as an off-ball player who can attack the basket as a cutter and, more importantly, by all accounts has been more than willing to play with Doncic. Smith will undoubtedly have a chip on his shoulder for the rest of the season and look for that fire to be evident from his first game back.
The Clippers have not had any public controversy like the Mavericks have, but they had been down and out in recent weeks. Los Angeles was coming off a five-game losing streak before knocking off the San Antonio Spurs 103-95 Sunday. It will be difficult for the Clippers to start a winning streak given the fact they will more than likely be without Danilo Gallinari, who missed the Spurs game due to back spasms, and Lou Williams, who has missed the last two games with a score right hamstring.
Dallas will get an emotional edge from Smith’s return and from playing in front of their home crowd that will give them an advantage to cover the spread, so include them in your NBA picks on Tuesday.
- Dallas is 15-7 ATS at home this season
- Los Angeles is 8-12 ATS as underdogs
- Dallas is 7-6 as home favorites