Hurtin’ Spurs Have Value Versus Trail Blazers

Friday, October 19, 2018 6:07 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 19, 2018 6:07 PM UTC

Kawhi Leonard is gone, but with DeMar DeRozan (and Jakob Poeltl) in town, the San Antonio Spurs are the sharp NBA pick for Saturday’s game with the Portland Trail Blazers.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check San Antonio - Portland Odds">San Antonio vs. Portland</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 10:00 p.m. EDT</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Spurs</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Check This Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569389, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,349,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The San Antonio Spurs as we knew them no longer exist. Tim Duncan left ages ago; Tony Parker’s now a backup in Charlotte, and Manu Ginobili retired in August. Kawhi Leonard? He’s with the Toronto Raptors now. After all the changes the Spurs have gone through, most pundits have them missing the NBA playoffs for the first time since 1997 – just before they drafted Duncan first overall.<br /><br /><em>Excellent.</em> The Spurs (47-35 SU, 42-38-2 ATS last year) have also been a profitable <a href="" target="_blank" title="NBA Picks &amp; Predictions">NBA pick</a> for much of the past 20 years, and they might have even more value now that people are already shoveling dirt on their grave. We’re sending out an APB for Saturday’s matchup with the Portland Trail Blazers (49-33 SU, 45-32-5 ATS): San Antonio will very likely be the right choice once the <a href="" target="_blank" title="NBA Odds Board">basketball odds</a> hit the board.</p><h2><strong>Northern Touch</strong></h2><p>As you may recall, the Spurs traded Leonard and Danny Green to the Raptors during the offseason, getting DeMar DeRozan and Jakob Poeltl in return. It was hardly an ideal trade for San Antonio, but given that Leonard only played nine games for the Spurs last year, they should perform even better now that they’ve replaced him with a proven offensive force and a promising young two-way player.</p><p>We’ve already seen both ex-Raptors have a positive impact for their new employers. DeRozan and Poeltl started San Antonio’s season-opener at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5); DeRozan led the way with an efficient 28 points, and while Poeltl was limited to eight minutes because of foul trouble, he pitched in four points, four rebounds and two assists as the Spurs prevailed 112-108.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The Spurs have never had a perimeter player in the past 20 years like DeMar DeRozan. This guy is a natural scorer and go-to guy...Popovich doesn’t need to put him in his spots, he can create on his own off instincts and supreme skill 🔥 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Ball Don't Stop (@balldontstop) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;October 18, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2><strong>Interchangeable Parts</strong></h2><p>San Antonio has more pressing concerns than the loss of Leonard. They’ve lost point guards Dejounte Murray (knee) and Derrick White (heel) to injury over the past couple of weeks, leaving them with Patty Mills – who’s much better coming off the bench than starting. No problem. Head coach Gregg Popovich has a long history of getting the most out of his resources; he inserted SG Bryn Forbes in the starting 5 alongside DeRozan, keeping Mills in reserve with prodigal son Marco Belinelli, and all four guards played their part in beating the Wolves.<br /><br />Can they do it on the road in Portland? <a href="" target="_blank">We recommended the Trail Blazers</a> for their season-opener against the Los Angeles Lakers, but that was more about fading LeBron James’ new team, and Portland made us look good by winning 128-119 as 3-point home faves. FiveThirtyEight projects the Blazers as 4.5-point favorites for Saturday’s contest using their Elo-based formula. We suspect the opening NBA lines will give us some profit margin on the Spurs; should the odds match up with the projections instead, try grabbing San Antonio closer to tip-off if and when the betting public unloads on the home side.</p>
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