Higher-Scoring Games a Trend to Back as Bucks Welcome Nets

nets bucks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, April 5, 2018 2:44 PM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 5, 2018 2:44 PM GMT

Playoff-bound Milwaukee is nearly a double-digit favorite against New Jersey, but the incentive to cover might be lacking. Instead of the point spread, focus on the total.

NBA Thursday: Nets vs. BucksFree NBA Pick: Over 220Best Line Available: Pinnacle

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The Bucks have clinched a playoff spot already, thanks to so many bad teams being in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee is currently the eighth seed and can move up if they continue to win down the stretch.

But do they want to? Washington and Miami are the other teams in the running for the final three seeds in the East. The problem is, I doubt any team wants that sixth spot, which would set up a first-round playoff series against Cleveland. Those teams would rather play banged-up Boston or playoff-choking Toronto, so winning to move up is probably not on the minds of Milwaukee, Washington and Miami.

The Bucks definitely don't want to face Cleveland in the first round. That in mind, they will try to win tonight's game, but even if they lose as -9 home favorites on the NBA odds board, it’s not the end of the world.

This strategy has led to some higher-scoring games from Milwaukee recently. The Bucks have given up 112.8 points per game over their last five, and against the Nets they are going to not only allow a ton of points, they're also going to score a lot.

After getting hurt in his last game, Brooklyn's DeMarre Carroll is looking doubtful for this one. While Carroll is nowhere near the defender he was three to five years ago, his veteran presence probably helps hold the Nets' defense together at times

Without Carroll on the court, the Nets not only don’t have anyone to stop the Bucks in the paint, they won’t have any wing defense. That's why you can expect a higher-scoring game, making the "over" a good play with your NBA picks.

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