NBA Win Totals are out for all 30 teams, and believe it or not; we are just five weeks from the start of the NBA season. With that in mind, here are my top undervalued teams from Bovada’s win total odds that could be worth an over play this season.
Brooklyn Nets O/U 27.5 Wins
I know it’s hard to think about the Nets as anything but a dumpster fire because that’s what they have been for the better part of five seasons. However, after a depressing 20-win season, the Nets are finally trending upward. The top sportsbooks have given them a 27.5 win total, but 30 wins should be an easy goal if all goes well in Brooklyn.
For starters, Jeremy Lin only played 36 games last season because of lower body injuries. If he can stay healthy, along with new additions D’Angelo Russell and Allen Crabbe, you have a deadly young backcourt.
Along with the maturation of Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, and the steady rim protection of Timofey Mozgov, you have a team that can win games in a horrible division and even worse conference. The Bulls, Hawks, and Knicks are all three going to be worse than the Nets this season long term, and the Pacers and Magic aren’t much better than them. Plus, with no incentive to tank once again, I see 30 wins for this Nets team in 2017.
My NBA Pick: OVER 27 ½ (-115) @ Bovada
Los Angeles Clippers O/U 43.5 Wins
The loss of Chris Paul is going to sting a little for this Clippers team. Paul’s ability to lead a team and give them the highest percentage shot almost every time down the floor is incredible.
However, the haul the Clippers got for Paul is a good one, and it gives them even better depth. Along with the free agent addition of Danilo Gallinari, this team is going to be just as good as the 51-win team a season ago and there is value on the NBA odds boards.
Patrick Beverley, Lou Williams, Austin Rivers, and Milos Teodosic is a wonderful backcourt combination for this team, and along with Gallinari, Black Griffin, and DeAndre Jordan, you have a very strong defensive team with some offensive punch and diversity on both sides of the ball.
Griffin and Gallinari will lead the way offensively, but don’t be surprised if Jordan gets some more looks in the pick and roll, while the bench guys like Sam Dekker come in and shoot the lights out. Don’t be surprised if the Clippers get back close to 50 wins despite the improved West.
My NBA Pick: OVER 43.5 (-115) @ Bovada