Heat vs. Trail Blazers to go Over for your NBA Picks

Steven Suarez

Saturday, December 28, 2013 5:18 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 28, 2013 5:18 PM GMT

It seems like the Trail Blazers are catching the banged up Heat at the perfect time. They're favored in the NBA odds, but can they top the champs?

Odds Overview

The NBA betting lines were just released and they show Portland favored by 5.5 points over Miami. The Trail Blazers are 24-5 SU and 18-11 ATS on the season, while the Heat have gone 22-7 SU with a 13-16 ATS mark.

If you're interested in a total play, the O/U can be locked down in the 206 to 207 range.

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Miami Heat

The Heat saw their six-game winning streak come to a crashing halt in a 103-108 overtime loss in Sacramento last night.

With Dwyane Wade, Ray Allen and Chris Andersen all out, Miami still almost won. Roger Mason Jr. started in place of Wade and Norris Cole and Michael Beasley soaked up a lot of extra minutes, as the Heat shot 44.2 percent overall.

LeBron James had to pretty much do it all, but that's something he's done countless times before. He had 33 points (12-of-23 FG), eight rebounds and eight assists.  Mario Chalmers played well, scoring 11 points with 10 assists and three steals.

Playing a tough overtime game the night before this showdown with Portland is not exactly what Erik Spoelstra would have hoped for, especially since LeBron picked up a couple knocks. His status for tonight's game is up in the air right now.

As for the Heat's performances in second games back-to-backs this season, they've gone 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS so far. They're really going to have to bring it if they want to improve on that record against the red-hot Trail Blazers.

Portland Trail Blazers

Some are waiting for the Trail Blazers to cool off, but it just isn't happening.

Portland continues to win and enters tonight's game having gone 7-1 over their last eight matchups. Highlight wins came over Houston and the Los Angeles Clippers two nights ago.

It wasn't easy against Chris Paul and company, but the Trail Blazers found a way in front of their home fans. Portland got double-digit scoring out of six different players in the overtime win.

LaMarcus Aldridge continued his stellar season by notching a tea-high 32 points and he added 10 rebounds and four assists. Nicolas Batum had 19 points, seven boards and three assists, Wesley Matthews posted a 19/7/6 line and Robin Lopez had 11 points and 15 boards.

The Trail Blazers now get to welcome a tired and short-handed Heat team to the Moda Center. They've gone 12-2 SU and 8-6 ATS at home so far this season.

Make sure to check out our:

Saturday NBA Picks of the Day

NBA Pick

A very tough call here. It's hard to feel too confident in either side not knowing who's going to be suiting up for the Heat.

One would have to think Wade will be playing tonight, while it's uncertain whether Allen or Andersen will be back in action. But the big question is LeBron. He was reportedly limping heavily after last night's game and there's a real possibility the Heat will play it safe with the superstar.

We're therefore staying away from a spread pick and will be recommending the OVER. These are the top two ranked teams in the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency and it only helps that both teams have been bad defensively as of late – Portland has allowed 112.8 PPG over their last five and the Heat have surrendered 103.8 PPG in the same span. Add the OVER to your NBA picks.

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