Heat vs. Pistons Free NBA Picks & Previews

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, December 8, 2013 4:15 PM GMT

The Pistons host the Heat on Sunday at Auburn Hills, Michigan. Let's go over the sports betting odds to see who will come out on top!

According to NBA betting odds the Heat is a 4.0 point favorite and the posted total is 197.5. The Heat has gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12-games played in Detroit.

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Spoiled in Miami

You know your fan base is spoiled when they start airing their concerns over a recent 2-game losing streak, or are complaining that they’ve already lost 5 of their first 20-games. However, when you set the precedent that the Heat has set in recent years, and the high priced star studded roster they’ve assembled, you can understand to a degree why expectations tend to become so unrealistic.

Demanding Road Trip

Tonight will be the Heat’s 3rd of a 4-game in 6-day road trip. The trip started with a dismal performance in a 107-87 loss at Chicago on Thursday night. They rebounded last night with an impressive and resounding 103-82 win at Minnesota. Miami will conclude the road trip at Indiana on Tuesday night, in a game that will pit the current top 2-teams in the Eastern Conference. Lebron James is 3rd in NBA scoring averaging 25.6 points per game entering today.

Inside the Heat Numbers

The Heat has been very good in rising up to the challenges of playing in a hostile environment. They’ve gone a very profitable 27-11 ATS in their last 38 road games. They enter tonight off last night’s game in Minnesota, and they’ve gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing with no rest, and have gone over the total in 6 of their last 8 in that exact situation. The Heat allowed just 82-points last night to Minnesota, which stopped an uncharacteristic string off allowing 98-points or more in each of their priort 3-games.

Pistons Improved and for Real

The Pistons are off top just a 10-10 start, but there’s no doubt this is a vastly improved team in comparison to recent years. Entering today’s game the Pistons are 2nd in the Central Division 8.0 games behind the first place Indiana Pacers. If the season were to end today, Detroit would qualify for the NBA Playoffs, and be the 5th seed in the Eastern Conference.

Balanced and Deep

Currently the Pistons have 5-players averaging double figures in scoring, with all of them between 13.2 and 16.9 points per game. They also possess a solid bench led by Will Bynum (8.3 ppg.), Kyle Singler (8.0 ppg.), and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (7.7 ppg.). One of the more encouraging signs for the Pistons has been the play of center Andre Drummond who has become a force in the interior. Drummond is averaging 13.2 points, 12.9 rebounds, 1.9 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game.

Inside the Pistons Numbers

The Pistons have seen 7 of their last 9, and 13 of their 20-games overall go over the total. The high scoring has occurred despite the fact they’re shooting just 31.8% from beyond the 3-point line this season. It’s not like they’re horrible defensively. Currently they’re 10th in NBA scoring defense allowing 98.8 points per game. The books have had a difficult time in gauging the Pistons in respect to the totals they’ve installed. The Pistons have seen totals as low as 185.0, and as high as 206.5. Detroit enters tonight red-hot going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4-games, and winning by an average of 12.3 points in those contests.

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NBA Totals Super System

Any home team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5 that averages 83 or more field goal attempts per game, and they made 12 or more three-point shots in their previous game, has seen 44 of those 63-games (69.8%) go over the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Take the OVER for your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Heat/Pistons to go over the total of 197.5.