Heat vs. Nets to go 'Over' 188.5 in Game 3

Steven Suarez

Saturday, May 10, 2014 1:03 PM GMT

So far so good for the two-time defending champions. They're doing everything expected of them so far and now will try to take a commanding 3-0 lead with a road win in Brooklyn tonight. Who are the NBA odds favoring?

Odds Overview
Despite being at home now, the Nets are still the underdogs in the NBA betting lines. Miami is favored by 1.5 points at most of the sportsbooks we've checked, though there's still time for the odds to shift ahead of tipoff.

The total ranges from 188.5 to 189. 

[gameodds]5/286086/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Miami Heat
It took some time for the Heat to wake up in Game 2, but once again they were dominant in the second half on their way to another victory.

After going into the half down one (they were also down by seven at one point), Miami out-scored Brooklyn 49-36 in the second half to end up winning 94-82. LeBron and company had numerous clutch plays down the stretch to ice the game.

It was a very disciplined and championship-like performance from the Heat. They only had eight turnovers and they were as good as ever defensively, holding the Nets to 42.3 percent shooting overall.

Individually, LeBron finished with 22 points on 9-of-18 shooting while adding four rebounds and three assists. Dwyane Wade had 14 points, seven assists, seven boards and two steals, Chris Bosh chipped in with 18 points and six boards, and Ray Allen and Mario Chalmers combined for 24 points on 9-of-15 shooting with five threes.

This is a team that's simply oozing with confidence. They've yet to drop a game in the playoffs and five of those six victories have been by double digits. Will they keep it going in Brooklyn tonight? 

 

Brooklyn Nets
Another good start from the Nets went to waste, as they again ran out of steam as the game wore on.

As a team, Brooklyn shot 42.3 percent overall, 33.3 percent from three and just 57.1 percent (8-of-14) from the free throw line. The Nets had 14 turnovers in the loss and got almost as much scoring out of their bench than they did their starters.

Deron Williams was the biggest culprit. He was actually held scoreless, going 0-for-8 from the field. He did have seven rebounds and six assists, but it's inexcusable that he couldn't even register a single point. Brooklyn was -18 with their starting point guard on the floor.

Paul Pierce, Joe Johnson and Shaun Livingston all scored in double figures, while Mirza Teletovic was on fire off the bench, hitting six threes en route to a team-high 20 points. Kevin Garnett was active (12 rebounds, three assists, three steals), but didn't contribute much at all offensively.

It's obvious that adjustments will have to be made if the Nets want to avoid getting swept in this series. They need to be able to keep up the pressure for the entire 48 minutes and not fizzle out like they have in each of the first two games. Is tonight the night?

 

Game 3 Pick
We're going to steer clear from the betting spread for Game 3. It's a tricky situation, as the Nets have shown signs of life early on in games and could be boosted by the home fans tonight, but then you think about how dominant the Heat have looked. Too tough to call.

So, let's head towards a total play instead. Jordan Sharp is on the UNDER, but we think Miami could be a little more lackadaisical on defense tonight, knowing they have a firm advantage in this series already.

Oddsmakers have responded to the first two games by posting a lower total (a difference of three points) and we're going to jump on the value and take the OVER. Let's bank on Brooklyn having more success offensively tonight.

Pick: OVER 188.5