The totals market is our focus this week as we look at the Hawks, Timberwolves, Mavericks and the Jazz-Warriors series, plus the team with the NBA's best ATS record.
Atlanta road games have been going "under" of late, with O/U totals 1-10 the L11 games away from home entering Sunday's game in Houston. The latest in that span was a 106-94 loss at Golden State on Friday night (220½, 5Dimes). So why this now-Betworthy Trend? A combination of two things, possibly: Sportsbooks setting Hawks road totals 5 to 9 points too high, and Atlanta’s problems scoring. The Hawks began the weekend ranked 22nd in scoring (103.6 ppg), 24th in field-goal percentage (44.7) and 15th in 3-point FG percentage (36.3), forcing this last-place team to play harder on defense to try to stay in games. But bettors beware here: The "over" was 8-2-1 the L11 Atlanta Sundays, although the "under" was 7-2 the L9 Rockets games overall.2. 'Over' Very Profitable in Timberwolves Saturday Games
The "over" in Minnesota's games on Saturdays is an impressive 15-3 the L18 after a 120-108 (O/U 224) loss at Philadelphia. The first two quarters (56 and 55 points) had plenty of offense but the game seemed to stall in the third (48 points) before closing hard with a 59-point fourth quarter. Unfortunately, for those wishing to exploit this red-hot Saturday trend, Minnesota doesn't have any more Saturday games in the regular season. Of note, at least, is the fact Minnesota has trended "over" all season, going 41-31-0 in the totals market.3. 'Over' Dominating Jazz-Warriors Matchups
The "over" in the Utah-Golden State series is 8-0 in the past eight meetings heading into Sunday night's matchup; a total of 203 was set for that one. However, the "under" was 24-11-1 in the L28 Golden State games on Sundays, while the "over" was 7-3 in the L10 Utah contests against Pacific Division foes. The defending champion Warriors were 5-13 ATS in their L18 Sunday dribbles and 3-8 ATS their L11 overall, while the Jazz were a profitable 9-4 ATS their L13 on the road.4. Mavericks Usually Get an 'Under' on Saturdays
With Dallas losing to Charlotte 102-98 (O/U 214½), the Mavericks' "under" on Saturdays improved to a stellar 18-6-1. Unfortunately for trend followers, Dallas doesn't have any more Saturday games this season.5. Lucky Charm$: Celtics' Impressive ATS Road Run Continues
Boston has have been a very consistent road team to back the past three seasons at 51-25-2 ATS (67.1 percent) entering Sunday night's game at Sacramento, with Celtics point guard Kyrie Irving ruled out. Even though Sacramento (24-49 SU, 35-35-1 ATS) was 16-5 SU the L21 home games against Boston and the home side was 11-3 ATS the L4 meetings, the Celtics were 7-2 ATS the L10 meetings and 8-2 ATS their L10 overall. Sacramento (2-6 ATS L8 Sunday) was 6-2 ATS its L8 home games, but with Zach Randolph (Illness) questionable and Boston (49-23 SU) possessing the best overall ATS mark in the NBA (44-26-2), backing the Celtics as -6 road favorites makes sense. Boston beat Sacramento by 27 points earlier in the season in Boston.