Hawks Is Our NBA Picks To Cover Large Spread Against Faulty Suns

Nikki Adams

Saturday, January 23, 2016 7:13 PM GMT

Saturday, Jan. 23, 2016 7:13 PM GMT

Oddsmakers tip the Atlanta Hawks as considerable road favourites over Phoenix Suns, but is the double-digit spread just too many points to lay with the Hawks to cover on your NBA picks?

O/U NBA Picks Of The Day

Atlanta Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks opened as the 11-to-11.5-point road favorites in the NBA odds boards, but the line has swelled to 12-points at most sports betting platforms ahead of the game on Saturday at the Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix Arizona. Inquiring NBA bettors are wondering whether that’s just too many points to lay with the visitors on their Saturday's NBA picks.

The Hawks are riding high in the Eastern Conference, sat third in the standings with a 26-18 record they are just four games behind leaders, and one of the guiding title favorites in NBA futures markets, Cleveland Cavaliers.

Home form is a stellar 15-7 but road form is just 11-11 on the season, which kind of undermines the exceedingly favorable outlook for this game by marketers. Most recently, the Hawks are coming off a loss, which has them slipping to just a modest 5-5 record in their last ten games.

Atlanta’s positive record on the season of 26-8-0 includes a 2.4-point winning margin and a negative 0.9-point differential versus the spread. While they lead the Southeast division with their SU mark they are only21-21-2 ATS for the season, which is third best in the division. In non-conference games, the Hawks are 8-9-0 ATS with a o.1-point winning margin and a negative 1.8-point differential against the spread.

Thursday’s 91-88 loss to the Sacramento Kings came on the road and saw the Hawks fail to come through for NBA bettors as the road faves, albeit negligibly at -1. Most concerning, it marked their third away loss in their last four road trips – a 108-101 loss to the Bucks and 107-84 loss to the Hornets, both instances where the Hawks were matched as considerable road faves of -4.5 and -2.5, respectively.

 

Phoenix Suns
Inasmuch as the Atlanta Hawks are enjoying a solid overall season, the market outlook is less  of an endorsement of that as it is a disparagement  of the Phoenix Suns, who are wallowing near the bottom of the Western Conference with a 13-31 mark and riding a woeful six-game losing streak. Intensifying their long shot NBA odds to mastermind the upset in this game – both SU and ATS – is a nine-game losing streak. Digging further, they’ve won just one of their last 16 games.

Along with their awful form and losing record on the season, the Suns are 17-27-0 ATS with a 5.3-point losing margin and a negative 3.7-point differential versus the spread. In non-conference games, they are just 5-11 ATS.

In their last turn around the league, they lost to San Antonio Spurs 117-89 and failed to cover the 16-points on offer. They’ve covered just four of their last 12 games.

 

Betting Analysis
At face value, this does look to be a lot of points to lay with the Hawks on our NBA picks, but with the Suns so wholly off form and off colour they just might make it all too easy for the Hawks to cover, leaking baskets like a sieve and continuously failing to cover from game-to-game no matter the size of the spread on offer.

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Free NBA Pick: Hawks -12 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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