Having Griner Back Will Help Mercury Win and Cover ATS Against Silver Stars

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, June 30, 2015 8:28 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jun. 30, 2015 8:28 PM GMT

It's not like the Mercury have been playing all that well this season, yet they still find themselves in a favorable situation on the WNBA odds board for tonight's home date with the Stars.

Odds Overview
Oddsmakers are expecting a comfortable win for the Mercury, as they've priced out as ten-point favorites, with some outlets even offering a line of ten and a half.

Meanwhile, we currently see a total of 149.5 points on the WNBA odds board, though there's plenty of time for those odds to continue to move. Keep your browser locked on SBRodds.com in order to track the lines and ensure you're getting the best possible number when you place your WNBA picks.

 

Phoenix Mercury
So far it's been a rough start for the Mercury. They're 3-5 on the season, with their three victories coming over San Antonio (76-71), Minnesota (81-66) and Seatle (84-72). They're ranked eighth in the WNBA in points per game (72.1), seventh in team rebounding (33.3) and sixth in points allowed per game (73.9), so they haven't really been excelling in any particular area.

Phoenix will be desperate to get back on track following two consecutive losses over the past week. They lost by five on the road against the Stars and then fell by 15 in Minnesota. It was Brittney Griner's season debut in the loss against the Lynx, and she quickly made her presence felt; she finished with 14 points, 11 rebounds and two blocks, although as a team the Mercury were only able to muster up 56 points on 33.3 percent shooting.

Now that Griner is back, we can expect the Mercury to be more competitive on a night-by-night basis. especially since they already had a few other players who had been contributing good numbers. DeWanna Bonner has been the main playmaker, averaging 19.5 PPG, 7.3 RPG and 3.4 APG through the team's first eight games. Candice Dupree (14.5 PPG and 5.6 RPG) and Monique Currie (10.0 PPG and 3.9 RPG) have also been important pieces to the puzzle.

 

San Antonio Stars
After a dreadful 0-6 start, the Stars have finally found the winning touch, picking up back-to-back wins over Phoenix and Seattle. As you'd guess by their record, there hasn't been much San Antonio has been doing right, as they're ranked 10th in the WNBA in both points scored and points allowed per game.

Maybe this recent surge will help the Stars turn things around and make a charge up the standings. They dug in and outscored the Storm 22-12 in the fourth quarter the other day on their way to the two-point road victory. Kayla McBride was outstanding, hitting 9-of-16 shots en route to 23 points, while Jia Perkins and Danielle Adams (off the bench) also hit double digits in scoring.

McBride, Perkins and Sophia Young-Malcolm have been the three most reliable offensive weapons for the team through the early part of the season and will now try to guide the Stars to a third consecutive victory.

 

Griner Back Will Have an Impact on the Game
With Griner now back in the mix for the Mercury, it's hard not to like the home team in this spot.

Yes, her debut didn't go as planned, but it's going to take some time for Griner and the Mercury to find their groove on the court again, and we've seen what she's capable of when in the mood. She had a big double-double with two blocks in her first appearance of the season, and now she gets a chance to dominate a San Antonio team that's struggled defensively and on the boards.

In short, we're expecting Phoenix to bounce back in style after consecutive losses. They've won two of three at home so far, with the one defeat coming in overtime. Look for Griner to set the tone en route to a big Mercury straight up victory and ATS cover.

WNBA Pick: Phoenix Mercury -10.5 at Bovada

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