The first round of the NBA Playoffs aren't over yet as some teams have faced the brink of elimination. Let's take a look at the individual player props for today & find appealing NBA picks.
Total Points For Deron Williams
Over 11.5 -130
Under 11.5 EV
This is a good series to begin with as the Nets aren't ready to go away and quite frankly have the personnel to deal with the Hawks, especially at the Barclay's Center. We have learned that Williams is dealing with severe tendonitis. In his last 2 games, he's been able to pass the basketball and rebound, but is averaging just 2.5 points per game. This is an automatic under.
NBA Pick- Under 11.5 EV
Total 3 Pointers By Deron Williams
Over 1.5 +125
Under 1.5 -155
I'm going to add Williams to my NBA picks due to his condition and lack of offense. The Nets backs are against the wall and I expect him to play. That said, I expect him to set up other teammates as offense isn't an option where D. Will is concerned. I also thought that this prop would be 1 -3 pointer. There's more juice to lay, but the under is still the play.
NBA Pick- Under 1.5 -155
Total Points For Brook Lopez
Over 19.5 -115
Under 19.5 -115
Someone has to do the scoring for the Nets. I can see someone coming off the bench coming up big, maybe some Joe Johnson, but definitely the best player on their team is Brook Lopez. Lopez has a soft shot for a 7 foot big man. In his last 2 games, he's scored 22 and 20 points. While that's close to the betting prop total, I still expect him to score at least 20 points, especially with an injured Deron Williams who won't be looking for his shot.
NBA Pick- Under 19.5 -115
Total Points For Kyle Korver
Over 12.5 -135
Under 12.5 +105
NBA odds makers are teasing the betting public. Although Korver is the best 3-point shooter in the game, he's coming off of a rotten 2 point performance in his last game. Korver is the kind of player that doesn't get his confidence shaken up. While I do think that he'll score more than 2 points, the Nets are desperate and I don't expect Korver to be the All-Star that we all admire. Under is the play.
NBA Pick- Under 12.5 +105
Total Points For Pau Gasol
Over 17.5 -115
Under 17.5 -115
If you had asked about this prop earlier in the season, the total would've been higher, but Gasol has calmed down a bit despite playing sensational basketball on a title contender. Tonight he and the Chicago Bulls continue their series against the Milwaukee Bucks.
Gasol has failed to reach the 18 point mark in his last 4 games despite devouring rebounds as he's turned into a double-double machine. This can be due in part to Jimmy Butler being the go to guy offensively and Pau controlling the middle while Joakim Noah just hasn't been himself. I want to say over in the worst way, but the trend is telling me not to and until Gasol eclipses the 18 point mark, I'm going to keep taking the unders where his point outputs are concerned.
NBA Pick- Under 17.5 -115 at Bovada