The Spurs pulled away in the second half of their series-opening game against the Grizzlies. But let’s peruse the NBA odds to see if we have enough betting value to back the badly beaten crew from Memphis in this Game 2 clash in San Antonio.
* San Antonio is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 Monday games.
* San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
* San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* San Antonio is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Memphis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
* Memphis is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one days' rest.
If you are going to back the Grizzlies with your NBA picks on Monday night then you have to scrub the image of San Antonio dominating the second half of their Game 1 meeting clean from your brain. Memphis was in front by five points at the end of the first-quarter and Marc Gasol was en fuego. But the Spurs made adjustments at halftime, limiting Gasol to just seven of his 32 points in the second half and sealed the deal in the third quarter by outscoring the Grizzlies 32-15 en route to the 111-82 blowout.
The oddsmakers are keenly aware that the chalk-lovin' public will be laying the lumber hard in Monday's Game 2 matchup. Therefore, the line has swelled from San Antonio as nine-point favorites in the series opener to where it currently stands at Spurs -10 ½ for Monday night's tilt. Let's not forget that the Grizzlies covered the number in all four regular season contests against the Spurs and Saturday night could easily be viewed as an aberration. Of course, Memphis is going without their defensive specialist and 13-year veteran Tony Allen (calf), but in fairness, nobody was stopping the Spurs Kawhi Leonard in Game 1 when the 25-year-old MVP candidate knocked down 32 points in the victory.
The numbers are telling us to have faith in Memphis as the Grizzlies limited the Spurs to an average of just a click above 90 points per game in their four regular season meetings. San Antonio is not a club that normally goes off as evidenced by their 14th ranked offense which means the Grizzlies should be able to shake Saturday's loss off and make the adjustments necessary to stay competitive in Game 2. We believe they will rebound with a strong performance and stay inside the number.