Grizzlies Emerge as Valuable NBA Pick Against Trail Blazers

Nikki Adams

Saturday, April 25, 2015 12:36 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 25, 2015 12:36 PM UTC

The Grizzlies look to go up 3-0 over the Blazers in Game 3 of their first round series. Find out where the value NBA picks are to be had as we preview this game & serve up our NBA betting predictions.

Memphis Grizzlies (2-0, 0-0 away)
The Memphis Grizzlies took care of business in the home stretch of their first round series with the Portland Trail Blazers. They opened their campaign with a dominant 100-86 win and extend their lead with another comprehensive 97-82 win. Both times the Grizzlies came through for NBA bettors in straight up betting and against the spread.

Going into game 3, however, the odds makers aren't giving it to the Grizzlies. On the contrary, they enter the NBA betting market as the firm underdogs priced at +140 NBA odds to win outright and as the 3-point road pups against the spread. Consider how convincing their home stretch was this market outlook has to be extremely tempting for their backers.

During the regular season, the Grizzlies went an impressive 33-10 SU at home but just 24-17 on the road. That fallibility on the road, coupled together with the Trail Blazers' solid home form ringing in at 32-9 SU, is the cause for this rather understated outlook in NBA betting towards the Grizzlies in game 3. The idea is that the Trail Blazers might bank on home advantage to turn this series on its head.


Portland Trail Blazers (0-2, 0-0 home)
The Trail Blazers may be down in this series, but the prevalent opinion is that they are not out. Not by a long shot apparently, as they go into game 3 firmly in favour on the NBA odds board at -160 to win outright and as the 3-point home faves. That they failed miserably in the first two games, make no impression in Memphis by losing both games in the double-digits, seems to be conveniently forgotten.  

To be fair, the Trail Blazers' do have the sort of home form that merits such an outlook. They went 32-9 SU and 23-18 ATS, highlighted by an 8.3-point margin of victory. They also went 30-8-0 SU and 21-17-0 ATS as home faves. Down the stretch they won four of their last six home games to finish on a positive note before their fans.

That said their NBA playoffs have gotten off to a poor start. They've been thoroughly outplayed and outclassed by the Memphis Grizzlies and one wonders if the odds makers are downplaying those accounts too much.


NBA Betting Verdict
By the regular season stats, the Portland Trail Blazers deserve to be the favourites going into this game. Their NBA playoffs account though so far suggests otherwise. So much so that it prompts us to consider the idea that odds makers are being rather disingenuous. Fact is the Grizzlies are in an enviable position, on the verge of going 3-0 over the Trail Blazers and taking firm control of this series. And they have the momentum and form going into game 3. Hence, they emerge as our value NBA pick both as the +140 underdogs to win outright and as the 3-point underdogs to cover.

NBA Picks: Grizzlies +140 to win and +3.0 to cover at 5Dimes

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