Grab 'Under' 209 With Your NBA Picks In Bulls vs. Magic Game

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 12:44 AM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 2, 2016 12:44 AM UTC

The Bulls head to the Amway Center in Orlando on Wednesday night to face the Magic in an Eastern Conference game between two teams fighting for a Playoff spot. Let's analyze the NBA odds.

This will be the second night of a back-to-back Sunshine State Road swing for Pau Gasol and the visitors, who come in beat-up and some key starters out with Injuries. Let’s handicap and preview this mid-week game from Disney World and look into the L10 meetings in this series, any recent Trends, current SU and ATS records, Streaks, Injuries and what’s happened ATS in the L10 meetings in this series and see if there is an NBA pick worth recommending.


Odds Overview
Chicago Bulls at Orlando Magic [Thursday 00:05] (CSN-C, FS-FL, Directv 654 (US), 7:05 p.m. ET/4:05 p.m. PT): The Chicago Bulls (30-28 SU, 23-35-0 ATS) head to Amway Arena in Orlando on Wednesday night to face the Orlando Magic (26-32 SU, 32-25-0 ATS) in the second of three meetings between these two teams with Chicago winning the first meeting in the Windy City, 92-87 on Nov. 1, but failing to cover as 8-point favorites (Total, 199 Under). These two meet again here in the Sunshine State later this month (March 26) in the third and final meeting. Offshore Oddsmakers have opened up with the Magic as 3-point favorites (-105, Pinnacle) with the game’s Total (Points) set at 209 (Pinnacle).


Chicago Bulls
The patchwork quilt that is the Chicago Bulls (11-17 SU Road, 11-17-0 ATS Road) and 1st-year Head Coach Fred Hoiberg continue to be the dog being wagged by the tail that is Derrick Rose with his Knees and his Contract hamstringing this franchise for years, so handicapping this team both in the daily (game) and Futures markets is hard—especially so this season with fellow starters Jimmy Butler (Guard) and Joakim Noah (Center) also out with Injuries. Perhaps the best way to attack the Bulls is to just fade this often over-priced team who headed into Tuesday night’s game in Miami (MIA -5½, 214, Pinnacle) with a 23-35-0 ATS (39.7%) record and an 11-17-0 ATS mark on the Road (39.3%). Heading in here, Chicago (25/1 to win Eastern Conference, BetVictor) sits precariously in 7th place in the Eastern Conference and is 3-7 SU in its L10 and has been choppy at the betting window of late, L4 ATS straight and then W4 ATS straight and now L2 ATS with the Bulls next 5 opponents having all covered ATS in their last meetings with Chicago.

Fade the Bulls? Seems smart. And heading into Tuesday, Mr. Unreliable, Rose, was listed as a game-time decision (Hamstring Tendinitis) and lately that’s meant he won’t play but trying to gauge whether or not Rose will play based on NBA Injury data is like trying to predict the Chicagoland weather—no matter what you think’s coming will certainly change within 24 hours. (He’s probable now.) And with the 27-year-old veteran and Chicago native (Simeon High School) admitting to having depth perception issues have having recent Eye Surgery, this team is already looking to the Future because the Present is like Groundhog Day. If Rose’s Knee MRI sees its shadow, six more weeks of mediocrity or something? Anyway, in their last game—the Bulls opened leg of a 2-night back-to-back Florida swing on Tuesday—Chicago (80/1 NBA odds to win NBA championship, Sportingbet) lost to the upstart Portland Trail Blazers, 103-95 on Saturday night in Chicago as Gasol had 22 points and E’Twaun Moore 19 points in the Loss in which Rose did not play and Cristiano Felicio did. Without Rose, Butler (Knee), Noah (Shoulder) and PF Nikola Mirotic, who (Appendix) is Out Indefinitely, this team has to do what it can with what it has at the time meaning Gasol, PF Taj Gibson, Tony Snell, SG Mike Dunleavy and Moore will have to go up against teams with their normal Starting 5’s from here on out, which means more disappointment may come the Bulls (101.6 AF-102.3 AA) way and that maybe fading this side is a good long-term strategy.


Orlando Magic
In their last game, the Orlando Magic (32-25 ATS, 17-14 ATS Home) and Head Coach Scott Skiles defeated the Philadelphia 76ers, 13-115 on Sunday night as C Nikola Vucevic and G Victor Oladipo both had 28 points and PF Aaron Gordon had a career-high 22 as the Magic handed Philadelphia to its 8th straight Loss. Orlando (100.8 AF-102.1 AA) games have become a little more high-scoring over the past month or so—but this team still sits in 11th place, 4 games off the last Playoff spot (8th place) in the conference. In that win over the Sixers, Orlando’s (300/1 to win Eastern Conference, BetVictor) 21-year-old Croatian Rookie Mario Hezonja (13 points) dunked 8 seconds into his first start while PG Elfrid Payton (11 points) and PF Jason Smith (12 points) were also in double-figures as was another Croatian Rookie—28-year-old PF Ersan Ilyasova (11 points).

And, as a matter of fact, the only two Magic players who played who weren’t in double figures were PG CJ Watson (3 points) who is just back after a Calf Injury and Brandon jennings (3 points). so as bad as Orlando may look on paper or your mobile device, the 76ers are really, really, really bad. On the Injury front for the Magic (5-5 SU L10 into Tuesday), C Vucevic (Jaw) was listed as Probable for Orlando’s game on Tuesday night at Dallas against the Mavericks (DAL -5½, 205, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) while SG Evan Fournier (Wrist) was listed as Questionable.


Recent Trends, L10 Meetings in Series and Logical Reasoning and Pick
In the L10 meetings in this series, the Magic are an impressive 7-3 ATS and Orlando has W5 straight ATS in this series despite Chicago being 7-3 SU in those L10 meetings. The Under is 6-4 ATS the L10, and in those L10, the Bulls have been the Point Spread Favorite all 10 times. Both teams have slightly skewed to the Over with Chicago 30-27-1 ATS to the Over and Orlando 30-28-0 ATS to the Over. Trend-wise, the Over is 12-5 ATS in the L17 Chicago games on the Road and the Over is 8-2 ATS in the Magic’s L10 games against the Eastern Conference while the Under is 6-2 ATS in the Bulls L8 vs. the East and the Under is 11-4 ATS in the L15 meetings in this series played here in Orlando—a Trend with some teeth. Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its L13 games overall while Chicago is 4-6 ATS in its L10.

Picking a winner in this game is a dicey situation, and Rose (Probable) playing or not playing is really a non-issue anymore with Chicago doing fairly well when he doesn’t play. With the Underdog is 20-6 ATS in the L26 meetings in this series, the limping Bulls 11-17 ATS and SU on Road, having that poor overall ATS (23-35-0 ATS) and playing on the second night of a Road back-to-back, fading the Bulls and taking Orlando on the Moneyline at a decent price and maybe using that as a parlay element backing the Under seem like the safest routes with both teams probably a bit tired after both playing on Tuesday night and both having had to travel late Tuesday (Orlando from Dallas back Home, Chicago from Miami to Orlando).

Final Score Prediction: Magic 101 Bulls 97

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NBA Pick: Under 209
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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