Grab Timberwolves To Win & Cover vs. Trailblazers As Your NBA Pick

Nikki Adams

Sunday, January 31, 2016 11:29 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016 11:29 PM UTC

Two teams enjoying contrasting fortunes, Timberwolves & Trailblazers, collide on tonight's round of NBA betting. Where are the value bets to be had? We analyze this matchup complete with NBA picks.


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Free NBA Pick: Trailblazers to win -260 and -6.5 (-105) 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

Minnesota Timberwolves (14-34)
Minnesota Timberwolves look to snap a three-game losing streak when they descend on the Portland Trailblazers tonight. By the NBA odds board, Timberwolves face an uphill battle. They are trading as the whopping underdogs across the board.

Pinnacle sports went to press with +248 NBA odds for the straight up win on the road. Those have come down ever so slightly to +239, but the reduction is so minimal to make it a moot point.5Dimes and William Hill sport a high of +240 NBA odds currently, marking the best price for those NBA bettors looking to back the upset.

Against the spread, the Timberwolves opened as the 6.5-point road underdogs, an NBA line that has held at Pinnacle sports since opening doors. Other sportsbooks such as Heritage, BetCris and Bookmaker, amongst several others have moved to a 7-point line for this matchup, a move underscored by public betting trends that tip towards the hosts – as it is, Portland Trailblazers have 62% of consensus bets in the market across various contributing sports betting platforms.

These public trends have a lot to do with the poor showing made by the Timberwolves so far. On the season, they are an underwhelming 14-34 SU, a mark that includes just a 7-18 mark at home and a 7-16 mark on the road. Compounding their overall account is a recent run of three straight losses and, even more concerning, a run of 14 losses in their last 17 games. Yikes!

The Timberwolves currently prop up the Northwest division behind the 14-34 SU mark, highlighted by a 4-point losing margin on average and a 0.1-point differential versus the spread. Speaking of the latter, they are merely 19-30 ATS on the season.

Their last three losses include a 114-107 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, a 126-123 loss to Oklahoma City Thunder and a 103-90 loss to Utah Jazz. Although they covered the first two of these three games, their overall form is extremely concerning and does them no favors in NBA betting circles.


Portland Trailblazers (22-26)
Portland Trailblazers are sat in eight place in the Western Conference, hanging on to a potential playoff spot by a slim thread, a game ahead of the Utah Jazz (21-25) in the standings. Recent form, however, is an auspicious 7-3 in their last ten games, which includes three straight wins ahead of their clash with the struggling Minnesota Timberwolves. It’s no wonder, therefore, the odds makers are looking upon the hosts so favorably on the NBA odds board. You can back a home win at -260 NBA odds on your NBA picks, the best current price, at 5Dimes.

Portland Trailblazers are sat second in the Northwest Division behind a 22-26 mark, which includes a positive 13-10 mark at home and a less than stellar 9-16 mark on the road. Clearly, their home form is keeping them in the race for the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Trailblazers are 26-22 with a 0.1-point losing margin on average and a plus2-point differential versus the spread. Their last three wins include a 121-103 win over LA Lakers, 112-97 win over Sacramento and a 109-91 win over Charlotte – all three of which featured spreads of -5 or higher and which they covered rather handily. At home, the Blazers are 13-10 ATS with a 3.6-point winning margin on average and a plus 3.4-point differential versus the spread. Importantly, in division games, the Blazers are a division high 7-3 ATS with a 2.6-point winning margin on average and a plus 4.6-point differential versus the spread.

NBA Betting Verdict
This pair couldn’t be enjoying more contrasting fortunes in the division and league proper. As such, the public NBA betting trends are no surprise. What’s more, it’s hard to go against the grain here too. Nothing about the Timberwolves suggests they are poised for the upset in Portland tonight so we’re going with the hosts to both win and cover on our NBA picks.

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