The Golden State Warriors are odds-on favorites to win the 2017 NBA Finals and looked the part in trouncing the Portland Trail Blazers 4-0 in Round 1. How much will Golden State be favored in Round 2? Read on.
The Golden State Warriors polished off the Portland Trail Blazers 128-103 in Game 4 on Monday night for the first-round sweep. They did it in style, too. Minus head coach Steve Kerr, out with an illness, the Warriors tied an NBA first-quarter record with 45 points in the session according to Elias Sports Bureau. Golden State was a whopping -7000 favorite to win the series prior to Game 1.
The victory propelled the Dubs to a 19-1 SU (13-3-3 ATS) record over their last 20 contests, despite contending with a rash of injuries (Kevin Durant, Shaun Livingston, Matt Barnes, Kerr). The Finals favorites are winning by 15.2 points per game during this stretch, outscoring opponents 112.5-97.3. Hot shooting from behind the arc is leading the way. Golden State is hitting 39.5 percent of its 3-pointers. Two-time MVP Steph Curry has drained better than 40 percent in half (10) of the contests.
This is the third season in a row the Warriors hold the top spot in the Western Conference. They are 12-1 SU and 7-6 ATS in round one. The only defeat was a narrow 97-96 loss at Houston in 2016, a game in which Curry sat out with an ankle injury and the Dubs hit just 24 percent of their treys.
The Warriors await the winner of the Clippers-Jazz series. Utah, the five-seed, own a 3-2 lead in the best-of-seven matchup following a 96-92 upset over L.A. on Wednesday. Bettors can expect another lopsided series futures price whichever team comes out on top. In 2014, sportsbooks dangled -1000 odds on Golden State beating the Memphis Grizzlies in round two. Last season’s second-round matchup versus the Trail Blazers was even steeper at -1600 odds. Over the last three years, the Warriors are 20-3 SU and 13-9-1 ATS against the Clip and Jazz combined.
How did the Dubs fair in individual round-two contests over the last two seasons? Pretty well. They are 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS. Two of the three outright defeats occurred on the road at NBA odds of -3 and -4, their lowest of any games during this span. Kerr’s squad tips off -7.6 favorites on average.
Sportsbooks list Golden State heavy favorites to win the NBA Finals at current odds ranging from -195 to -250 with Bovada having the best price (-175) at publishing time. The number is too steep in our minds with the best in the West (Spurs, Rockets) still on the horizon and the Cavs looking sharp in the East. Nonetheless, the Dubs are the most popular bet to win it all via money wagered at William Hill US. As of April 14, the book reported nearly 61 percent of futures dollars backed Curry and company to claim the NBA title. San Antonio, however, is taking the most ticket (16 percent) in the season-long pool. Golden State is getting 14 percent, while the reigning champions Cleveland Cavaliers are the third choice at 12 percent.