Game 6 NBA Picks for Warriors vs. Grizzlies: Fade the Public & Back Memphis on Plus Money Line

Charles Stark

Friday, May 15, 2015 11:22 AM GMT

Friday, May. 15, 2015 11:22 AM GMT

I'm backing the Memphis Grizzlies with my NBA picks tonight, as they are try to avoid getting eliminated from the Playoffs & are offered on the plus money line to extend their series with the Warriors.

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NBA betting odds makers have come out making the Warriors a -5 favorites.  It makes perfect sense considering how they have dominated the last two games.  But with Tony Allen scheduled to come back and playing at home I like the Grizzlies for my NBA pick in this spot.  This is veteran team that knows they have the ability to beat the Warriors and they play significantly better at home despite their most recent rare loss in Memphis.  They simply have much stronger defensive stats at home compared to the road.  On the year they allowed opponents to shoot 46% from the field on away games, at home that drops to 42.3%.  Opponent shooting from beyond the arc, 37% on the road but 33.6% at home.  Scoring defense 97.2 points on the road, but 92.8 points at home.

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Over Confident
After winning the last two games the Warriors might come in a little over confident and pretty secure in the fact they can close this series out at home so they have some wiggle room.  With Tony Allen back and their commitment to defense at home I like the value with the Grizzlies today.  Again, this is a veteran team that is playoff hardened.  They will not get eliminated as easily as the public may think.

NBA Picks: Grizzlies +5 at Pinnacle

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