Friday's Top NBA Pick for O/U Hoop Action

Steven Suarez

Friday, February 27, 2015 5:15 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 27, 2015 5:15 PM UTC

Where's the best NBA betting odds value when approaching tonight's massive slate with a view at attacking totals?  We've found a game that stands out.

Odds Overview
If you're interested in putting in action on the spread, the Jazz are favored by 3.5 points on NBA odds board despite being on the road. That just goes to show you how bad the Nuggets have been here as of late.

However, we'll focusing on totals in this article. The O/U has shifted quite a bit already, moving up from an opening number of 193.5 all the way up to 197.


Denver Nuggets
The worst team in the Western Conference right now? No, it's not the Lakers, or the Timberwolves. That honor belongs to the Nuggets, who enter tonight having lost four in a row and nine of their last 10. They may not have the worst record in the conference, but there's no question they've been the most disappointing team in recent weeks.

Coach Brian Shaw has endured a maddening season in charge of this team, and there doesn't seem to be an end in sight. There have been a number of internal conflicts, constant trade rumors, and overall poor play. It's been a mess in Denver, thus making the Nuggets an easy team to fade when considering against the spread picks. How can you have faith in a team that doesn't have any faith in itself or its coach? Injuries are piling up too now, with the most notable being Wilson Chandler, who's a doubt to suit up tonight after already missing a couple games. Jusuf Nurkic has already been ruled out as well.

Defensively has been where the Nuggets have struggled most. They've allowed at least 110 points in each of their last three games and are surrendering 104.3 points per game on average for the season. Only a few teams in the NBA have been worse in that department.


Utah Jazz
Though it hasn't been the most successful of seasons for the Jazz, by any stretch of the imagination, they've at least put forth a number of respectable performances, unlike the Nuggets of late. Utah is middling away at 21-35 overall, while going 5-5 over its last 10 games heading into this evening. 

Most recently, the Jazz lost 100-97 to the Lakers. Utah shot 46.6 percent from the floor, with Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors, Rudy Gobert and Elijah Millsap all scoring at least 16 points. However, the Jazz fell short against the Lakers and it came at home no less, so there's no doubt they'll want to bounce back immediately this evening.

Ahead of tonight, Utah is averaging 95.6 points per game, which ranks 26th in the NBA. Defensively the Jazz are giving up 97.5 points per game, the eighth-best mark in the league, and they'll look to shut down the woeful Nuggets tonight. That hasn't been too tough of a task for opponents lately.


NBA Pick
We actually liked the under when the number was at its lowest point, so needless to say we like it even more now that it's at 197.

Simply put, it's hard to much faith at all in the Nuggets, and it's not like the Jazz have been playing at a high pace throughout the season. Denver has been near the top in PACE, but Utah is second-to-last, so one of these styles has to win out, and we think it'll be the Jazz that will able to inflict their method.

We don't have an issue fading either one of these offenses at this point, especially with the likes of Chandler and Nurkic banged up, so we feel good about taking the UNDER as one of our NBA picks of the day.

Free NBA Pick: UNDER 197

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