Friday's Top ATS Value NBA Pick: Pistons +8.5 vs. Blazers

Steven Suarez

Friday, March 13, 2015 12:30 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 13, 2015 12:30 PM UTC

Where's the best NBA odds value for tonight's game in Portland? The Trail Blazers are holding their own despite losing a key member of their team, whereas the Pistons have been awful lately. 

Odds Overview
The NBA Odds are suggesting Detroit could be in for another rough night on Friday, as they're getting 8.5 points to play with on the road against Portland. We shouldn't expect anything different, considering the Pistons have lost eight straight games to essentially kill any chances of making the playoffs.

The O/U is trading at 197.5, but it's a little difficult to trust Detroit when making a total play. They've shown a lot of inconsistency on both ends of the court, whereas the Trail Blazers are ranked in the top ten in both points scored per game and points allowed per game. That's what we call balance.


Portland Trail Blazers
Some figured that the season-ending injury to Wesley Matthews would be a killer blow to the Trail Blazers, but they've shown a lot of resiliance and seem to be coping just fine. Adding Arron Afflalo to the cause right before the trade deadline has turned out to be a stroke of genius and couldn't have really worked out any better, as he's stepped in as the starting shooting guard.

Portland comes in having gone 7-3 over its last 10 games and is 42-20 overall, which is good for the third seed in the Western Conference. The Trail Blazers just wrapped up a 105-100 home win over Houston a couple nights ago and will look to protect their home court once again this evening against the struggling Pistons.

And, looking at Portland's home record throughout the season, you've got to be impressed with what you see. The Trail Blazers are 27-6 inside their own building, which is the third-best record in the entire NBA. They've recorded some wins over great competition at home, which is why it's going to be key for them to get as high of a seed for the postseason as possible.

Check out Friday's Top Total NBA Picks of the Day

Detroit Pistons
The losing streak has now reached eight games for the Pistons. It's truly been a disappointing stretch for a team that looked like it could end up competing for a spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. 

However, because of this terrible run, Detroit is now six games back of the eighth seed, so it's looking very grim for Stan Van Gundy's team. The Pistons are now behind Charlotte, Boston and Brooklyn, who all trail eighth-seeded Miami, meaning a lot would have to go right for them to be taking part in the postseason. The addition of Reggie Jackson hasn't panned out as well as those involved with the organization would have liked, as he seems to be forcing things and doing too much, instead of running the offense and letting things flow.

The duo of Andre Drummond and Greg Monroe, however, continues to perform at a high level, and that's been a big reason why Detroit has stay competitive most nights. We look for more of the same tonight in Portland.


NBA Pick
We're going to go against the grain a bit with our NBA Picks here and recommend that readers take the points and back the Pistons.

Yes, they've been struggling mightily, and yes we typically like to fade a team until they turn things around and prove why they deserve consideration again, but tonight we feel it's just too many points to be getting. Detroit may be bad right now, but they've got a lot of talent and we think that alone could keep them competitive here.

Without Matthews, it's fair to question Portland's depth, while the Pistons do have a nice trio of Jackson, Monroe and Drummond that should be able to hold their own. Jackson has been struggling majorly but we expect him to bounce back here and in turn lead Detroit to a cover as road dogs.

NBA Pick: Detroit Pistons +8.5 at Pinnacle

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