It’s another big night of NBA action, and after going 7-1 this week so far in my NBA Picks, let’s try and finish off the week with a bang! I have found two more NBA Odds that I am adding to my plays tonight, and I think you should too!
Wizards vs. Heat
This line could change some once the other sportsbooks get ahold of it, but right now the NBA Odds have the Wizards as a -4 ½ favorite in Miami tonight, with a total of 191 ½. These early odds from BetOnline have some nice value. If Chris Bosh and Josh McRoberts aren’t able to play again tonight, the Wizards big men are going to feast against the Heat. Without Bosh, the Heat are not a playoff team in the East, and as much as Dwyane Wade has been doing in his absence, the reality is this Heat team isn’t that good when Bosh is on the sideline.
Tonight even if Bosh plays, the Wizards here at -4 early in the day are a great value. Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog, and they have gone 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight home games this season. On top of that, in their last 10 games, they are only 3-7 ATS.
Compare that to the Wizards, who are racing up the East standings, and they are doing it on the road. This season the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites, and dating back to the playoffs last season some, Washington is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. As long as this line holds and doesn’t go shooting upwards, and as long as Bosh looks like he is still less than 100%, I am rolling with the D.C. crew tonight.
NBA Pick: Wizards -4 at BetOnline
Raptors vs. Pistons
Another Eastern Conference game that I have my eyes on tonight is the Raptors heading into the Motor City to play the Pistons. Detroit is having a season to forget already, and they are already in trade discussions for some of their players this season. However tonight that won’t help them, as the Raptors are coming to town, and Toronto is a -7 ½ favorite tonight, with a total of 199 points.
The Pistons stand very little chance in this game in my opinion, and even though the move to the bench for Greg Monroe has helped, it still doesn’t solve the backcourt problem. Jodie Meeks returning also helps, but the issues lie in the time-share at point guard. While it’s fine offensively, the Pistons are a very small backcourt. This limits them on defense, and tonight against Kyle Lowry, (still no DeMar DeRozan) the Pistons will fold to the pressure from Lowry’s drives and shooting.
Plus, the Pistons haven’t been the model of success this season ATS. Detroit is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, and they are only 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games at home against winning teams. Overall in their last seven games against winning teams, they are 1-6 ATS. The Raptors on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last five games this season, and on the road, they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight away from home. Look for both of my road favorites to cash tonight with undervalued spreads as NBA picks.
NBA Pick: Raptors -7 ½ at 5Dimes