Friday's Hottest Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based on Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Friday, March 27, 2015 6:44 PM GMT

Those studying the college basketball odds are pretty satisfied with the balance of the Sweet 16 games in the NCAA Tournament except one line item and we have that covered for you.

Plus, we have line moves in the NBA and even the CIT tourney. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (456- 402 L161D)

 

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks 7:35 ET  CS-NE, MSG
With the Knicks plummeting faster than former Tennessee basketball coach Donnie Tyndall, it comes as little surprise to NBA basketball handicappers and anybody working the NBA odds.  New York has moved from +8 to +9.5. The Knickerbockers have dumped five in a row SU and ATS and are 1-7 SU and ATS in last seven. After a hot stretch, Boston has cooled (1-4 and 2-3 ATS), but hard to take the Knicks who are 1- 9 ATS at home after playing a game as a home underdog this season. 

NBA Pick – Lean Boston

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Portland Trailblazers vs. Phoenix Suns 10:05 ET  CSN-NW, FS-AZ
With just 10 games remaining in the season, Phoenix almost has to win out to catch Oklahoma City for the final playoff slot in the West, trailing them by three games. Those hitting the sportsbooks with NBA Picks are not inclined to believe the Suns can even stay even with the Thunder, let alone gain ground, flipping them from -1.5 to +1. This seems a bit peculiar because Portland is not only banged up physically, but they seldom have success in desert, having lost 19 of 22 (including playoff games), with a spread record of 7-13-2. Another somewhat unusual angle on the Trail Blazers is they are 14-30 ATS after playing consecutive games as an underdog the last three seasons.

NBA Pick – Lean Phoenix

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Michigan State vs. Oklahoma  10:05 ET  TBS
The total on this East Regional conflict is up two points to 135.5 by those making NCAA tournament picks. The average total score of a Michigan State or Oklahoma contest is basically 134 points. In both cases each team is sound defensively, yet both have the capacity to play faster get out on fast-breaks and score quickly. The one area where bettors might have the right beat on this encounter is each squad has big guys that pound the offensive boards and that extra work leads to extra possessions, which should result in more points. If this Sweet 16 game goes OVER, that is where it will come from. 

NCAA Basketball Pick –Lean Over

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Kent State vs. Northern Arizona  10:00 ET
Kent State is 11-7 and 10-5 ATS on the road this season, which was the likely reason they were installed as one point favorite. But hoops bettors have seen this different and switched the Golden Flashes to two-point underdogs on the NCAA basketball odds. Why the move, part of it could be Northern Arizona is 11-2 (5-6 ATS) at home, winning by seven points a game. The Lumberjacks have also thrived after being away from Flagstaff, which is why they are 12-2 ATS after playing a road game this season. NAU is on a sweet 10-1 ATS roll at the moment but hard to ignore in common opponents, Northern Arizona is 0-2 and 1-1 ATS, being outscored by 12.5 PPG and Kent State is 3-0 SU and ATS, having won by 6.6 PPG.

NCAA Basketball Pick – Lean Kent State

 

Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
Philadelphia is 11-1 ATS at home in non-conference games this season. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
UCLA is 7-0 ATS versus teams making 45 percent or more of their shots after 15 or more games this season. 

NHL Money Line Trend
Columbus is 6-1 in March road games this season.