The Orlando Magic were really struggling to score of late until they went into Minnesota and dropped 118. However, now they are on the road against one of the best teams in the NBA in Boston, and I think the Magic will see their scoring drop significantly Friday night.
The Celtics have been one of best defensive teams, if not the best, in the NBA this season. They are holding opponents to 98.1 points per 100 possessions and are limiting their opponents to a 48.4 effective field goal percentage. Against a team like the Magic, who are averaging less than 99 points per game over their last five and have an offensive rating of 106.3, Boston is going to lock down defensively.
Even though Nikola Vucevic should still have a strong game, the rest of the Magic are up in the air tonight, and with sharp odds on both the total and spread, a teaser could be an excellent value play for this game. A 5-point teaser could move the C’s line down to just -2½, and if we tease the total up to 215 and bet the 'under,' this line is oozing with value.
Boston is holding its opponents to just 92.7 points per game at home this season, and 99 points per game over the last five. Furthermore, the Celtics have scored just under 102 points per game at home this season, and with the Magic giving up more than 110 points per game on the road, this should have a final somewhere around 110-100.