Free Top NBA ATS Picks to Max Out Saturday's Profit

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, April 4, 2015 12:58 PM GMT

It's a terrific Final Four in the NCAA Tournament on Saturday night, but that doesn't mean you should ignore the NBA. Here are ATS picks I recommend with BetOnline NBA odds.

Nets vs. Hawks (-9)
Normally one would expect this line to be higher considering the Hawks are the best team in the East, haven't played since a 105-95 loss in Detroit on Tuesday -- surely Atlanta won't lose two in a row? -- and that Brooklyn is playing the second of a back-to-back. The Nets, however, won a sixth straight game Friday, beating visiting Toronto 114-109.  They are now alone in the seventh spot in the Eastern Conference but still not assured a playoff spot and thus have much more motivation here than Atlanta, which is going through the motions. In fact, it appears Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer has come up with a unique playing time system the rest of the regular season. Against the Pistons, he essentially did what Kentucky coach John Calipari did early in the college basketball season: replace the starters en masse with a five-man bench group. Budenholzer played all five starters exactly 23:44 against Detroit, pulling them after about 12 minutes in each half and then sitting them for good.

NBA Free Pick: Take Brooklyn with your NBA picks. Assuming Budenholzer continues that trend, I'd definitely take a hungry group of  Nets starters playing around 40 minutes against only 24 minutes or so of Atlanta's five best players.

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Clippers vs. Nuggets (+9.5)
This looms as a potential trap game for Los Angeles. It comes off two truly draining games, a 110-106 home loss in a playoff-type atmosphere against Golden State on Tuesday, in which the Clippers blew a 17-point lead; and then a 126-122 victory at Portland the next night in which Los Angeles rallied from a 19-point deficit. Add that to playing in the thin air of Denver and it could be tricky, although the Clippers still have the motivation of improving their playoff seed. They do catch a break in that Denver played Friday night, a 30-point loss in San Antonio, the Nuggets' third straight defeat.

NBA Free Pick: Nuggets. Clippers just don't play well in Denver, losing five straight.

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Hey there! Check out these three fantastic underdogs to cash in with tonight!

Jazz vs. Suns (-1.5)
Speaking of running out of energy, that could be the case for Phoenix on Saturday night. The Suns knew they pretty much had to win out to even have a sliver of hope to earn the West's No. 8 seed and they threw everything they had at Golden State in Oakland on Thursday night. It was a fabulous, back-and-forth game with Phoenix taking a 106-105 lead on an  Eric Bledsoe layup with 4.5 seconds left against a team that had just two home losses all season and was on a 10-game winning streak overall. However, the Phoenix defense allowed Golden State's Harrison Barnes to get free for a running shot in the lane with less than a second remaining for the 107-106 win. Thus I expect a totally deflated Suns team here, which again will play without starting guard Brandon Knight and center Alex Len. Utah has continued its fine play since the All-Star break with a three-game winning streak, dominating defensively in that stretch and they're listed as short favorites on the NBA odds.

NBA Free Picks: The Suns have won six of their last eight home games in the series, but the Jazz take this one outright.

 

Warriors vs. Mavericks (+5.5)
Golden State is in much the same boat as the Clippers are on Saturday: How much is left in the tank? The Warriors, who have nothing whatsoever to play for, especially away from the home fans, had that huge comeback win over the hated Clippers on Tuesday and then the last-second victory over desperate Phoenix on Thursday. Warriors forward Draymond Green has missed the past three games with a shin injury and it wouldn't seem prudent to play him in this one. I expect limited minutes for all key Warriors. Dallas lost small forward Chandler Parsons to a knee injury in Thursday's loss to Houston and he's questionable at best. X-rays were negative. The team's official game notes list Richard Jefferson starting in Parsons' place.

NBA Free Picks: Mavericks. Golden State has won six straight in this series and two straight in Dallas, but I can see that ending with or without Parsons.