Free Picks for Wednesday's NBA Playoff Matchups

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, May 7, 2014 11:56 AM GMT

The second round of the playoffs are now fully underway, and tonight we have our first Game 2’s of the quarterfinals. The NBA odds look to have some value, however we have seen some solid line shifts since Monday.

Wizards vs. Pacers Game 2
Even though the game ended with an eight-point spread in favor of Indiana, the Wizards dominated Game 1. Now they have a shot to repeat what they did to the Bulls in the first round, win two games on the road to open the series. However the NBA odds have gone up a half point and now favor the Pacers at -4 ½. The total is also up slightly to 184 ½, or an even 185, depending on where you’re shopping.

The biggest surprise this postseason, and now again in the second round has been Washington’s very underrated defense. This team is deep and they have a lot of size. This makes the Wizards a big matchup problem for the Pacers, because Indiana is struggling to establish a presence in the paint due to the struggles of Roy Hibbert.

Even though we missed out on them in Game 1, I could see the Wizards covering the +4 ½ here once again. Without Hibbert playing at just even par, the Pacers will not beat Washington. Indiana is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games dating back to the regular season, and even though they have been better ATS in the playoffs, that was the Hawks. 

Indiana is only 7-14 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and right now they are very overrated as a #1 seed. As long as the Wizards are still making shots from the outside, they will cover this spread and should be the obvious choice for your sports picks tonight.

My Pick: Wizards +4 ½

[gameodds]5/286080/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds] 

Clippers vs. Thunder Game 2
Speaking of beat downs, Game 1 between these two teams wasn’t even close, as the Clippers dominated OKC on the road to take a 1-0 series lead. All four Game 1’s of the second round have now been blowouts for the most part, so will we see a closer contest in Game 2 with the Thunder backed up against it? The NBA odds have the Thunder as -5 ½ favorites, but after cashing the over with a 213 ½ total in Game 1, I’m going to KFC for lunch and ‘Doubling Down.’ 

The total for this game is only one point higher than the previous game, and it once again looks valuable. I mentioned in my full article on this contest that these two teams might be the best offensive teams left in the playoffs. At 214 ½, this total is once again slightly underfunded for the offensive firepower on both sides. 

After Game 1, six of the last eight times these teams have played one another the total has gone over. Even though that dates back to the beginning of last season, these two teams haven’t changed much since then. The biggest change is in LA with Doc Rivers coming over, and that has been immensely positive on the Clippers’ offense. 

Currently four of the last five games for LA have gone over the total, and the Thunder’s last four in a row have gone over the total. Not only that, but as an underdog this regular and postseason, the Clippers were 13-5 cashing the over.

My Pick: OVER 214 ½

[gameodds]5/286081/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]