Free NBA Picks: Wizards & Raptors To Stay 'Under' Big Total

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, January 26, 2016 6:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016 6:24 PM UTC

Neither the Washington Wizards nor the Toronto Raptors have reached 100 points in the last three meetings and it could be more of the same despite this bloated total on Tuesday.


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NBA Pick: Under 205 
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


In the fourth and final meeting already this season between two teams that each failed to reach 100 points in any of the first three matchups, the ‘under’ looks like the play again with what seems a rather high posted total north of the border Tuesday night when the Washington Wizards (20-22, 22-20 ATS) pay a visit to the red-hot Toronto Raptors (29-15, 26-18 ATS) at Air Canada Centre in Toronto, ON Canada at 7:35 ET in a game available on Comcast SportsNet.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 205 for this contest with the current NBA odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +102.


Hottest Team in Eastern Conference
The Raptors are the hottest team in the Eastern Conference right now and one of the hottest teams in the entire NBA as they have won eight straight games to solidify their hold on the second seed and close to within 2½ games of LeBron James and the top seeded Cleveland Cavaliers. Thus the Raptors are one game short of matching the longest winning streak in franchise history, as they last won nine games in a row in 2002.

The Wizards meanwhile are in danger of missing the playoffs after returning to the post-season the last two years following a prolonged absence, as they are currently the 11th seed in the East and two games under .500 after being the blowout losing NBA pick at home 116-91 to the Boston Celtics in the first half of a back-to-back last night, marking the third defeat in the last four games for Washington since it had evened its record at 19-19.


Beal Doubtful for Wizards
You may recall that the Wizards swept the Raptors in the first round of the NBA Playoffs last season, and now Toronto is on the verge of gaining a small form of revenge by sweeping the regular season series this year after winning the first three meetings all in low scoring affairs. In fact, neither team has reached 100 points in any of the 2015-16 encounters with the Raptors winning by scores of 84-82, 94-91 and most recently 97-88 on January 8th.

The Washington offense sputtered in the home loss to Boston last night as the Wizards shot just 42.7 percent from the floor and committed a whopping 20 turnovers, which was the most that Washington has committed in 25 games. It certainly did not help matters that Bradley Beal and his 18.5 points per game were knocked out of Monday’s game in the second quarter after taking a forearm to the face from Boston’s Marcus Smart.

The news regarding Beal is not good as the latest is that he is still in the league’s concussion protocol and he is doubtful for this game. His absence would obviously be a huge blow to the Washington offense as it would allow the Toronto defense to concentrate all of its efforts on stopping John Wall with the Wizards having no other real bona fide scorer on the floor.


Improved Defense for Toronto
Speaking of the Raptors’ defense, the improvement of that aspect of the Toronto game is the main reason that this team is approaching elite status in the Eastern Conference, as a shortage of defense was the reason why the Raptors proved to be pretenders once the playoffs rolled around despite winning the Atlantic Division each of the last two seasons.

In fact, the offense is actually down a bit this year with Toronto ranking only 18th in the league in scoring with 101.2 points per game and 17th in field goal percentage at 44.6 percent. However, the Raps have more than made up for that on the defensive end ranking fourth in the league in points against at 96.8 per game and eighth in field goal percentage allowed at 43.8 percent.

Most impressively the Raptors have continued to play stiff defense despite being without one of the premier defenders in the NBA as DeMarre Carroll has missed the last nine games and he remains out indefinitely following arthroscopic knee surgery.


Low Scoring Series
Finally, the three low scoring head-to-head meetings this season were not an aberration either, as if we go back a bit further the ‘under’ is now 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto. The ‘under’ is also 7-1 in the Raptors last eight games vs. teams with losing straight up records, as well as 6-2 in the Wizards last eight games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Expect those ‘under’ patterns to continue for at least one more game with Washington and Toronto again falling short of the seemingly inflated posted total in Canada on Tuesday.

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