Free NBA Picks: Wednesday Value Plays

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 1:00 PM GMT

Free NBA Basketball picks for a few of tonight's biggest games. Find out where our handicappers believe that the best value lies for NBA bettors tonight.

Wednesday has plenty of NBA action on tap for this evening, and I have a couple of totals that I really like. Let’s take a look at some of the NBA Odds for tonight and see if we can cash a pair of winners.

Kings vs. Magic

For the first of my free picks we are heading south, where the Magic are set to face the Kings. Both teams are coming into this game off of a back-to-back travel game last night, and the Kings come in as -2 ½ road favorites, with a total of 206 points. The Kings had a game just south of Orlando in Miami last night, as the Magic were all the way in Philadelphia last night.

The Kings are going to hemorrhage points on the road tonight following the back to back, even though they are playing one of the worst offensive teams in the Magic. Sacramento is also scoring more points recently, which is going to add to the Magic’s points as well. Plus, teams are shooting 47% against the Kings this season. Orlando gives up almost 100 points per game this season, and they actually play offense a little better at home.

We are going to avoid the spread in this situation, as it looks like a bet on the total is offering us the best value. The total has cashed in 12 of the last 18 games between these two in Orlando and I am on the over once again tonight.

My Pick: OVER 206

[gameodds]5/219626/43/us[/gameodds]

Mavs vs. Grizzlies

Dallas comes off a home games against Milwaukee last night and into Memphis tonight to face the Grizzlies. The Grizz come in as -7 favorites in this one, with a total of 190 ½. Memphis has been playing defense our of this world recently, as teams are only scoring an average of 79 points against them in their last three games, and only 89 points per game on the season.

Shipping Rudy Gay out of town and bringing in Tayshaun Prince has made them better defensively, and the Grizzlies are going to take advantage of a tired Mavs teams coming in from Dallas. In their last ten games against one another, the under is 7-2-1 in that span, and Memphis will want to make a statement after the Mavs beat them by 20 points in January. I’m seeing one of these teams in the 80s this evening, and I’m backing the under in my NBA Picks.

My Pick: UNDER 190 ½

[gameodds]5/219630/43/us[/gameodds]