Free NBA Picks: Warriors To Remain Unstoppable In Game 3

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, June 8, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 8, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

Consider that Golden St. is 38-11 SU on the road and won a key Game 6 at OKC when away. Also note that Golden St. won last year’s NBA crown with a huge Game 6 victory on this very court. 

Golden St. Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
The 2016 NBA Finals resume when the scene shifts to Quicken Loans Arena for Game 3 of the series between the Golden St. Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers. Tipoff is 9:00 ET as televised by ABC TV.  


The Thick Of It
Cleveland had plenty of excuses in last year’s NBA Finals against Golden St. LeBron James, averaging nearly a triple/double, was forced to carry the load by himself with Cleveland’s No. 2 and 3 scorers, Irving and Love, on the sidelines. This year, Cleveland has been at full strength for 4 meetings against Golden St. The first of those was at Oracle Arena, where Golden St. prevailed (89-83) in Cleveland’s attempt to avenge their playoff loss last year. The following 3 games have been “no contest.” In the 2nd meeting of the regular season, the Warriors won (132-98) on this floor, then there were the 2 drubbings back at Oracle by counts of 104-89 and 110-77 to begin this Championship Series. My math tells me that is an average of less than 87 PPG for a Cleveland offense which was one of the most prolific in the league this season. LeBron James called this a “do or die game for us.” It looks to me as if funeral arrangements have already begun for Cleveland. Further issues have arisen for the Cavs, if No. 3 scorer, Kevin Love (concussion), is unable to play in Game 3. That could be an FCB (final crushing blow) for a Cleveland team, who is already on life support! If Love is unable to suit up, there will be bigger roles for Tristan Thompson and JR Smith.  Whatever the case, Cleveland will have to average more than 87 PPG, if they are to win this contest.


The Problem With The Offense
If Cleveland is to improve their lethargic offense, they will have to better the 35.6% shooting from the first 2 games. Poor shooting, of course, just feeds the transition game of the Warriors. The team is as deadly as any in recent memory in the open court transition game, where they are capable of pulling up for the 3 or driving all the way to the basket. Also aiding the Cavs in that regard would be positives in rebound margin and TOs.  


All of those, however, are big “ifs” for Cleveland. The Warriors are super surging to the championship, having won 5 consecutive games since falling behind OKC (3 games to 1). In the last 4 games, they have allowed less than 89 PPG. And, they have succeeded In his series despite subpar efforts from all all-star guards, Curry and Thompson, mainly because of their outstanding depth, led by Livingston and Iguodala. It’s an easy kneejerk to play Cleveland to bounce back. But in my opinion, the more likely scenario is the Golden St.’ momentum prevails! I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA pick on Golden St. tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Golden State Warriors +105
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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