Free NBA Picks: Tired Heat Will Cover Spread vs. Pacers in Indiana

Swinging Johnson

Friday, November 6, 2015 7:19 PM GMT

Miami Heat dribbled out of Minnesota last night with a victory while the Pacers are shooting for their third consecutive win. Let’s see what the NBA odds are offering to find the right NBA pick.

Miami Heat (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
The NBA odds makers installed the Heat as 4½ point road favorites last night, and they didn’t disappoint all those who backed them in their NBA picks. When the final buzzer sounded, Miami had rolled to a 96-84 victory over the Timberwolves. Dwyane Wade led his team with 25 points, while teammate Chris Bosh bucketed 16 and registered 12 rebounds. However, the most telling stat was that the Heat’s starters all scored in double digits and outclassed the T-Wolves’ starters by a whopping 81-29 margin.

Dwyane Wade is one of only six starters who have scored at least 20 points in every game he has played this season. Wade’s streak was in jeopardy Tuesday night against the Hawks, as he was suffering from a migraine headache; however, he battled through and contributed 21 points en route to the team’s 98-92 win over Atlanta. Heat guard Mario Chalmers sat out last night’s contest with a sore knee while reserve guard Gerald Green has been hospitalized for unspecified reasons.

 

Indiana Pacers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
After stumbling out of the blocks with three consecutive losses, the Indiana Pacers have found their stride with wins over Detroit and Boston. George Hill had 26 points and 10 rebounds while teammate Jordan Hill, who started in place of CJ Miles that was out with an injured right ankle, contributed 16 points and 10 rebounds of his own in Wednesday night’s narrow 100-98 victory over the boys from Boston. The past two games have been in stark contrast to their three earlier outings and George Hill put it thusly,

"Playing together more, not just on the offensive end but on the defensive end," said Hill, who scored 10 points. "We have been helping each other and communicating a lot better and being there for one another. As long as we do that, we will be a pretty solid team."

The Pacers took three of four from the Heat last season without the services of George Hill for most of those meetings, as he was on the mend after surgery. The Pacers are averaging only 94.4 points per game, which ranks them 26th in the league; however, their defense has been sound holding opponents to 99 which places them 12th.

 

NBA Picks
The Heat are 5-2-2 ATS over their last nine contests when playing the second leg of back-to-back games. They are getting strong contributions out of their starting five and not just limited to superstars Wade and Bosh. I believe that veteran teams like the Heat can overcome the stresses and rigors of back-to-back games early in the season as opposed to later in the year. While I realize that Miami has struggled in Indiana, this is a new season and a deeper Heat team since LeBron took his talents back to Cleveland.

The Pacers are 2-5 ATS over the course of their last seven games, but even though they have scored consecutive victories over the Pistons and Celtics, I’m not sure they are ready to hang with a team like Miami that is getting it done on both ends of the court. Defensively, the Heat has been outstanding, allowing an average of only 93.4 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the NBA. Let’s look for the visitors to cash a ticket in our NBA picks for Friday night.

Free NBA Pick: Play Miami -1 at GTBets

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2882541, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]